/biz/ - Business & Finance

>An Ethereum token is better than Ethereum

>>19468963
Short/medium predictions. Bets sized with Kelly criterion, so long term growth maximized.
I make my predictions quantitatively looking at literally everything I can.

Kelly betting so I don't need to predict if it will go up or down, I just need to predict the distribution.

With a prediction of the distribution I can use derivatives to alter the shape of the distribution to be convex and use miss-priced derivatives to maximize expectation.

>>19193593
Check the fragility of your strategy.
>Is the shortfall accelerating or decelerating?
>What's the geometric mean of returns?
Use the theoretical geometric mean, not the CAGR.

Size your bets according to the Kelly criterion to maximize your growth rate and minimize risk of ruin.
The real benefit of actually applying this criterion is that if forces you to actually assess the risks in your method.

I'm telling you this because I am assuming that you haven't checked.

Also, 9 days of data. The statistical significance is lacking at this stage.

>>18944442
It's all about managing risk.
>diversification, basically a free lunch
>volatility targeting
>return convexity, don't be fooled by normal distributions

Though I'm not a day trader, I'm not doing this for income.
I'm investing + also trying to time the market.

>>18524717
>ACCORDING TO MODERN MONETARY THEORY WE CAN JUST GIVE INFINITE FREE MONEY TO EVERYONE FOREVER AND NOTHING BAD HAPPENS!!!

I WENT TO HIGH SCHOOL I HAVE BASIC PATTERN RECOGNITION

CHART LOOK THE SAME

>>15458029
Just FYI these people aren't Indian, from what I gathered looking through the Telegram they're Russian. Which wouldn't surprise me I guess, they have that Communist DNA still deeply embedded in them from the USSR days, so they'd have that natural ability to use these leftist/Jewish pilpul argument tactics and then they turn it around and now YOU'RE the scammer for trying to point out their scam. By pointing our their scam, you're basically a devil who's willing to rape and kill, apparently. They lie so fluidly and easily!

It's incredible isn't it?

Anyways it's not surprising you'd mistake them for Indians because they tend to do the same thing, but usually with less verbal alacrity so it's easier to catch them out and have them call you a maderchod.

Argentes, Good Ol' Nine, and whoever else is assigned to post on /biz/, you make me very sad. I thought Russians were these super BASTE traditional Christian people, but I guess I was completely wrong there. Good luck with your scam.