/biz/ - Business & Finance

>>12372893
No, not FINRA, and I'd prefer not to say so I don't make it easier for people to dox me. Admittedly, I worked with the legislative policy side of things, so less technical than other departments. But you learn a lot watching and summarizing congressional hearings all day.

As for the graph, the red line is when you move into 10 year T bonds for three years after every yield curve inversion before moving them back into stocks. It's not a perfect model, however, since I was forced to assume you'd sell the bonds are face value and I just set the capital gains tax at 25% for all selling. Still, I think where those factors err, they err on the side of diminishing the returns for the strategy of selling when the yield curve inverts.

Yeah, ideally it'd be better just to put cash in so as to escape taxes but that's also more difficult to model (I still haven't got the regular cash infusion part of the code working yet).

The reason I made the graph, however, was that I only recently started investing seriously because I'm hoping to get enough to buy a house in about ten years, hence I can't just put a blindfold on and wait half a century.