/biz/ - Business & Finance

Jeanna.

buy gme. please buy gme. we need you to buy gme.

wtfwt

CPI must have leaked

I was just pretending to be retarded.

t. the stock market

Ding ding ding! How did it go today anon?

>>58343844
>buy gme. please buy gme. we need you to buy gme.
No one with 2 braincells to rub together would dump money into a Funko pop and gamer t-shirt mall store.

>>58343866

>>58343866
A little every day. All options.

>>58343866
+0.17%
I'd like to use this opportunity to thank all wagies around the world for working hard to increase the value of my portfolio

>>58343858
https://app.suno.ai/song/dff475b6-2d96-4c37-9ae1-0fb6d5867e61

>In the year twenty-two, a storm began to brew
>Wall Street trembled, fear is what it knew
>The bears emerged, ready for a feast
>But little did they know, a battle of the beasts~


>The bulls stood tall, with determination in their eyes
>They saw an opportunity, amidst the market cries
>They bought the stocks, held on tight to their faith
>With every downturn, they faced it with grace


>This is the rise of the bulls, the brave and the bold
>Defying the odds, their story will be told
>They stood against the bears, unyielding and true
>In the downturn, they triumphed through.

>>58343866
+0.14

LFG

>>58343866
I made $40 on forex by inversing myself and also opened a position in $MEDS

An odd day to say the least

>>58343866
+1.85%
Sold my SPY calls in case the market takes a shit tomorrow. Left some money on the table but profit is profit.

>>58343866
UP HUGE

>TBLT up 13% today
could this be the start of my recovery?

>>58343844
You ruined it stupid gme nigger. Bad nigger.

did the s&p 500 bounce right back to normal after all that? is my day not ruined?

>>58343895
Heres how you make money on Forex if you have stable income stream already: Bet on the death of the dollar
>Take out 0% apr credit card with low balance transfer fees if needed
>Transfer higher % debts to 0% apr card
>Roll money that would go to monthly premiums to treasuries
>Collect yield from treasuries, pay back card
a 9% apr loan can then be converted back into something like 13% yield.

>>58343922
very nice stack sir

>>58343926
>shilling ticker with 2D girls
this is something that I can appreciate. Buying it tomorrow.

I bought a gambling call in WDFC and it didn't pay off. Oh well.

>>58343866
not going to even look. going to go back to playing my games and reading my book and look after cpi tomorrow.

Lmao at all the retards that fell for the trap and sold today, congrats on losing money (again)

>>58343963
>Selling

>>58343952
DO NOT BUY TBLT
I have lots of other 2d girl shill jpgs, what do you want? Just don't get involved with TBLT

>>58343973
rules are rules sir, already placed an order

>>58343861
No, it's just 0dte plays. Market is fucked because of that. Big guys can print free money.

Trading stocks with my friends

>>58343980
Well godspeed, maybe this is the bottom

>>58343888

>Bloomberg Economics

>@economics
>An economist from the Bureau of Labor Statistics corresponded on data related to CPI with major Wall Street firms like JPMorgan and BlackRock, raising questions about equitable access to economic information.

LMAO HOLY SHIT
And I just said "no" to you
>>58343861
>>58343986

>>58343980
>Literally buying bags

>>58344004
kek retailets thanks for playing

>>58343998
don't worry, I'll put only meme money in it for the laughs. Thanks for concern though. Personally I would love to own a stock with Q at the end of the ticker.

>>58343866
+0.48%
AFM.V, APM.V, and SSRM made up for the losses on JOY.TO and a few others

Where's the "you bought calls, right anon?" anon

>>58344005
kek, ok this made me laugh.They should turn into exit bags business as their last attempt to save themselves and send their product out to investors as a dividend.

>>58344063
They also make kneepads...

>>58343973
well post them fag

>>58344082
I think we're done folks, our quest to find the best baggie stock is finished

>>58344023
The only one with a Q i have is AQB. Do not buy AQB. Even the 2d girl is vomiting
>>58344093
what kind do you want?

>>58344106
technically safe for work but barely
1000 year old vampire kind, preferably with spread_legs and pelvic_curtain

>>58344106
I mean one that ends with Q, which indicates it filed for bankruptcy. Kinda what I warned /bbby/ schizos is going to happen with their precious stock. Unfortunately they didn't get my joke as well.

who does red jelly beans as cinnamon instead of cherry!!
who do I buy that does non-nasty jelly bean flavors?

>>58343866
Well you know what they say...
Listen to /biz/ they've got that fizz.
Actually I try not to think about what might have happened if my SPXL calls hadn't exercised but I still do, and calculate the numbers from time to time.

>>58344046
Not that anon, but I bought calls (LEAPS) on NVDA, MSFT, INTC, TSLA.

>Well John Rocker is the champ and I guess that makes me the prodigy!

Found this company that makes Robot police (KSCP)
kek

I'm actually considering buying a chinese energy company (China Longyuan Power Group). Do what you want with this information, but I think it might be the top.
Pic related is how their english website looks like, a company with $16b marketcap

>>58344196
have they done an AI play yet?

>>58343941
I held and now I dab on u

This market is fucking shit

the rug pull tomorrow is going to be insane

i just won a billion dollars overnight

you bought calls right anon?

>>58343973
Do you have something sexy that gets the blood pumping yet tasteful

>>58344314
Dumb bot.

>>58344004
Wait
does this mean that cpi is so bad that line go down?

>>58344314
YES, I loaded the boat for tomorrow. I think/hope CPI will just be another nothingburger.

>>58344328
No

>>58344314
No you gay nigger bitch
CPI will come in HOT
Will mods please ban this fag?

>>58344354
3%

>>58344314
Harbinger of the meltup is that you?

>>58344394
but if high then bullish because inflation is more money

>>58344314
Yeah, but I sold them before close in case SPY rugpulls tomorrow.

>>58344428
that was the old narrative from like 4 months ago, new narrative is inflation bad

>>58344353
not a bot schizo nigger

>>58344394
>3%
Looks close enough to 2% to me. Good enough to cut next meeting.

Why the FUCK did the market go up and close green AGAIN?
Where is my fucking black swan?

>>58344490
Rates are going up before 25.

>good CPI data
bullish, SPY reaches ATH
>bad CPI data
priced in, SPY reaches ATH

>>58344498
i telled you
nvda is still within a bull flag range
it hit the very bottom of that range today
we only go up from here frens
buy tupperware and playboy, you will need them

Why doesn't smg have a weekly poll about how many anons are bullish or bearish? Would make for a good indicator desu.

>>58344499
>Berry my dick in MM Funds
>Be crowned king arthur

>buy suno subscription
>less than 24 hours later they disable song generation
lmaoooo

>>58343866
4% overall, 10% in the final hour, expect to be 15-20% when CPI hits tomorrow morning, maybe more

>>58344498
>Black Swan event happened 4 years ago
WHY ISN'T THERE A BLACK SWAN EVENT EVERY YEAR!!!

>>58344541
No refunds

>>58344490
When you think about it, really high values of 2 are basically 3.

>>58344508
>Why doesn't smg have a weekly poll about how many anons are bullish or bearish? Would make for a good indicator desu.
Not happening glowie.

>>58344500

Believe the unbelievable
Dream the undreamable
Redeem the unredeemable
Heem the unheemable

>>58344508
I'd be content if the YSE was open year round with the ability to namefag your avatar of your stock holdings on the exchange

>>58344508
>He didn't get an invite to the Schizo Index
ngmi nwgmi

If inflation comes in hot tommorow, its priced in already and SOXL rallies
if inflation comes in cool tommorow, we rally.

>>58344644
This but the opposite

>>58344644
This but we just rally regardless.

>>58344644
Clown market continues no matter what.
Honk honk!

CPI will come in at 5%.

>>58343866
I sold

what is THE most IMMORAL thing i could invest in?

Guys monetarists told me inflation is a direct result of money supply. How can inflation be going up during qt?

>>58344705
At this point i think it's "green" energy. That's the dirtiest scammiest sector i can think of.

>>58344705
Shorting SPY, if you bet against America then you are fucking evil.

>>58344718
NEP!!!

>>58344498
right here

>>58344705
SIGA, gays need to feel the true effects of their immorality by suffering with mpox. SIGA cures them so they can continue doing gay shit all over the place

>>58344705
META

>>58344705
Israel.

>>58344714
Because they're not tightening. The Treasury is using debt to fuel their own insane and irresponsible version of QE to keep the markets propped up. It's even more dangerous than regular QE because they're borrowing instead of printing.

>>58344705
goyslop companies

Could've made 1000$ easy today. Don't know why I don't just buy calls and wait them out instead of taking early profits.

Is VZ going out of business?

>>58344705
cigarettes.

>>58344756
Idk mate the graph says qt is steaming ahead. Maybe monetarists are just wrong?

>>58343866
Three percent in the red.
Thanks metal jerries.

I have an idea. The is a CBOE "PUT" index which buys 1 to 3 month treasury bonds as collateral, and sells an ATM SP 500 put each month. Pic related. I can replicate this with SGOV as collateral, and SPY/XSP puts. Why can't I sell a daily ATM put instead of 30DTE? It should have more premium over the same amount of time, increasing profitability/lowering risk. Thoughts?

>>58344756
>they're borrowing instead of printing.
Is that how they can afford the bond buy back program? Theoretically can retail partake in the buy back program if they own enough treasury notes?

I think the 3.4% YoY CPI expectation is too high, and I think it's on purpose. It's going to come in a fraction of a percent lower and then the market will remember that everything is fine.

>>58344803
>increasing profitability/lowering risk

>>58344785
The national debt is going up by 10% a year.

>>58344814
They're issuing high interest short term debt to subsidize long term yields, because those pump the stock market more.

>>58344803
>The is a CBOE "PUT" index which buys 1 to 3 month treasury bonds as collateral, and sells an ATM SP 500 put each month
Does the interest on the bills cover the potential assignment risk of the short puts or do they ever have to sell the bills to cover the assignment of the put? I think you risk having to come up with cash to buy SPY on assignment or I guess just be ok with paying margin interest to carry the position on margin. The brokers will love you if you do that.

>>58344879
>The national debt is going up by 10% a year.
not my problem. im buying bonds here for next 30 years.

>>58343888
Checked

>>58344803
The daily has more risk than the 30dte.

Called the NVDA triple top and am still comfy holding my NVD while baggies are still in the denial and cope phase as they slowly bleed out

>>58344879
>They're issuing high interest short term debt to subsidize long term yields,
Qrd? I thought they were letting the banks exchange their longer term bonds that they are bagholding for new bonds of the same term length but at the new rates

>>58344818
Delete this.

>DUDE, I made 0.35% gains today!!! LETS GOO

you didn't make shit retard because you didn't sell

>>58344915
Sounds like what he just said anon.

>>58344705
Pharma, you wonder how (they) get their money? that's how.

>>58344915
He means yellen stopped selling LTT because she doesn't want to lock in these rates. It's yield control

TSLAets are we so back?

Kohlchan is down

>>58344818
>say cpi is probably uhnm 3%
>it's 3.3%
>market crashes everyone dies
>say cpi is 3.4% confidently
>it's 3.3%
>everyone green market happy buy buy BUY BUY BUUUUYYYY
ez pez

>>58344945
Debtmaxxers always win baby.

>>58344945
There is a 10 year auction tomorrow and a 30 year auction Thursday. Did there used to be more of those?

Bought Rheinmetall in the dip. Let's see :)

>>58344957
Meanwhile noticers point not to inflation accelerating.. but no longer being in a down trend on cpi. PPI is lagging but will also rise up.

Who the fuck makes up the CPI expectations?
My expectations are what we had when Trump was in office.

>>58344993
>when Trump was in office
How much DJT you holding bro?

>>58344935
i'm down 50% on some positions but i didn't lose shit because i didn't sell

>>58344850
Yes higher premium per month lowers beta and standard deviation, and increases CAGR.

>>58344883
There's no margin interest on the short options. Only if shares are assigned. I can just use XSP or SPX instead to avoid assignment all together.

>>58344902
Depends on the IV smirk on the expiration date. From what I've seen ATM put options are closer to the expected IV at shorter expiration dates (1 DTE). So there is higher volatility, but the options pricing makes up for with the higher IV.

anons, where can i watch bloomberg online?

>>58344967
>>58344965
I must have been high because I can't find it. So ignore me lol whoops

>>58345027
You lost opportunity.

>>58345030
>There's no margin interest on the short options. Only if shares are assigned.
That's what I'm talking about. If you get assigned you have to buy the stock either on margin or you have to sell the treasuries. You could also buy to close the option for a loss which if the interest on the bills covers that then I would think that is the best option. But idk how the cboe fund operates in those situations.

>>58344982
This is a downtrend retard

>>58345082
Looks like an uptrend to me anon.

>>58345080
CBOE generally uses SPX and rolls the option 3rd Thursday/Friday of each month. Anyways I'm just spitballing different ideas. I did like the beta of the PUT index, but not the returns after capital gains. Even on a 60/40 split.

>>58345082
>>58345120
Looks like a bullish flag to me

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kl4wkIPiTcY

>>58345082
>Bull flag
It's OVER.

>>58345135
WATCH
THIS
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IMjm4LxFa1c

>>58345134
I got bullish about inflation did you? Fed was too scared to finish the job.

>>58345133
>and rolls the option 3rd Thursday/Friday of each month
So that means to me that they are just closing out the option position regardless of profit/loss and establishing a new position. So assuming they start with zero cash and 100% treasuries they might dip into margin from time to time on a big loser

>>58345135
>>58345148
KEK
E
KEK, BAGGIES
(thnx 4 plyn)

>>58345156
>Fed was too scared to finish the job.
President Joe woulda killed those niggas if they kept raising rates through our the election

>>58345156
It wasn't the FED, it was the Unions backed by DC.

Is there a way to short this clown market without paying ridiculous premiums? I think AI is fake and gay but it will take time for the market to realize it.

I'm surprised AMD is holding its ground. Usually it follows NVDA very closely. NVDA down to 850 but AMD held and even closed above 170.

>>58345168
They absolutely will be raising rates again this year. If this print is hot, expect it at the next meeting.

Investable rivals for Neuralink? I've seen articles that other companies/groups are ahead of Neuralink in the development cycle for that kind of tech, but not sure which ones you can invest in or if there is an ETF for it. Anyone investing in this?

>>58345173
Are there DJT shares available to borrow yet? Last time I checked my broker didn't have any shares available even if I was willing to pay the usurious borrowing fee

>>58345168
Well, banks were also exploding a little too fast. But I had a feeling we needed one more hike.
>>58345169
Fucking economic gamblers. Now everyone will face reckoning.

>>58345189
That would be spicy as fuck anon. Would actually love to see it from an entertainment standpoint

>>58345189
lol no way. Market still prices in 2.5 cuts for this year. If this print is hot the Fed might start talking about no cuts this year and that will already be a massive shift. There is no way they're gonna throw a surprise hike in there.

>>58345136
>>58345134
Wouldn't it technically be a symmetrical wedge, which continues the previous trend when it breaks? Which is the massive dive down from 2022

>>58345120
2022 to now is a obviously a gigantic downtrend to historically average levels. This is where the "over time" part of the "2% inflation over time" goal of the Fed comes in, since they're vague as fuck about what that means and 2.5% inflation might be low enough over time compared to the last decade.

ASMB Stock ladies

laundry rape?

>>58345208
>banks were also exploding a little too fast
Top kek that was a funny time and potentially still not resolved I guess we will just have to wait and see what happens

>>58345214
unless you have a theory why it's a bad choice for the actual US economy, I'll take that as FUD.

>>58345189
It would be an incredible surprise if inflation falls considering the the only hopium people have is a vague "labour market is cooling" even after repeated six figure labour market beats on jobs.

>>58345222
desu I was just shitposting. If anything, I would hope it blows out negative, but this is all a fake and gay cross between WWE and Calvinball.

>>58345189
>>58345169
>Says FED
>Has a retarded hot take
E
v
e
r
y

t
i
m
e

>>58345221
>Market still prices in 2.5 cuts for this year.
I don't remember anyone promising shit.
The promises were.
>higher longer
>act on data
Don't give a shit if speculators speculated incorrectly. Myself included.

>>58345189
>next meeting
*Q4, no knee jerking but it's definitely coming.

>>58345173
Synthetic futures. You can buy an OTM call with the credit from the spread as protection.

How far will NVDA fall from here?

>>58345228
My theory is that guys with a lot more money and experience than me are front running cuts regardless of the true economic outlook. And Jerome continues to string them along with hope at these meetings and has already held rates where they are for multiple meetings now with language about cuts this year being probable. If he were to heem these mumus it would be epic but he doesn't ever go against the fed funds futures traders so I'm not holding my breath on that outcome. But like I said it would be spicy as fuck to heem all these fund managers front running the pivot

>>58345222
Still looks like an uptrend anon. But the "fed will accept inflation" is a pipe dream for gamblers. They were forced to stop because of a liquidity crisis that was poised to pop off last year. Now they have to finish the job or else their hand will be forced by a sticky spiral.
>>58345227
I'm betting a small position on nycb still blowing up and going into receivership.

>DJT +1.08%
DON'T CALL IT A COMEBACK

>>58344899
I have another one Bull vs Bears
https://suno.com/song/a8bf5006-433a-46fc-b660-064b28c99871

Fighting for control, a battle to be won~
In the land of profits and dreams UNDONE~
In the land of profits and dreams undone~


The bulls charge forward with relentless strength~
But the bears won't back down, they go to any length~
A game of numbers and risk, high stakes in the fight~

>WHO WILL EMERGE VICTORIOUUUUUUUUS~

>IN THE MARKETS LIGHT~

>BULLS AND BEARS CLASH ON THE TRADING FLOOR~
>RED, GREEN FIELDS~
>BULLS AND BEARS FIGHTING FOR THE FIELD~
>YOULL SEE IT'S THE MARKET AT IT'S CORE~
>THIS BATTLE OF THE MIGHTY NO ONE'S GONNA YIELD~
>BULLS AND BEARS FIGHTING FOR THE FIELD~

Bulls and Bears fighting for the field~

>>58345268
suno sucks major fucking dick today wtf lmao cant even access the site

>>58345222
>Wouldn't it technically be a symmetrical wedge
I'm only looking at 2020 onwards. But maybe. I'm not the biggest TA fag, I'm just an amateur TA user.

how can anyone say that inflation is going down when literally everything i see is going parabolic? 3% inflation? MORE LIKE 30%. JEROME YOU FUCKING IRISH NIGGER PUSSY, PULL A VOLCKER

>>58345252
Why delay if, as you say, it's coming?
>>58345260
The economy is doing well, the problem is that someone wanted higher wages while corporate was focused on getting supply up so the cost spikes of 2022-2023 would disappear and inflation would dry up. That is done, but Biden shit on all that by backing 25% increase in wages for Unions.

I'm open to the idea that reducing rates might help open some more non-union shops and fuck these dumb faggots straight out of their jobs. Anyone got a path to make that happen?

>>58345264
OK, no probs, I'll just keep calling it a TARDTRAP. Let me know when it has a positive P/E.

>>58345294
>backing 25% increase in wages for Unions.
i highly doubt that was the issue with inflation. its almost never wages rising. however i dont care for unions anyway.

>>58345243
Fed absolutely cares. One of the main points of the Statements and press conferences and dot plots is to align market expectations=pricing with fed expectations. They're not going to drop a hike out of nowhere when the market is still thinking in terms of cuts. Also the Fed itself clearly expects 3 cuts this year as per the latest dot plot.

>>58345291
>PULL A VOLCKER
This. We haven't reached the peak of the curve.

>>58345291
This post is literally an attack on Our Democracy by spreading Russian Disinformation, chud. FACT CHECK: Inflation has never been lower, sweaty.

>>58345294
How many public companies rely on union labor directly? Or is it all in the shipping and logistics side of the business? I'm thinking about the Baltimore dock workers and jobs like that

>>58345327
>the Fed itself clearly expects 3 cuts this year as per the latest dot plot.
I think it's wild that everyone has totally forgotten about this. Anything to the contrary has just been complete speculation.

I got an email from my bank that $10,000 was deposited

>>58345363
You're welcome anon. God bless

Can't wait for my fat ass pay hike in June. Go Union or go broke. It's that wasy

>>58345363
>tfw waiting on my tax refund deposited
>irs claims by april 10th...
took them long enough. sent it in back in january. i want my 2024 contribution to my roth going.

>>58345326
Name what is higher right now? Fuel, wages.
Commodities are cheap. Electricity is cheap. Even loans aren't horrific if you're a quality company.
We were literally a month from seeing everything drop back to 2019 levels, and the unions showed up.

>>58345327
>align market expectations
Which market? Which part of the market?
The FED doesn't care if speculative accounts go to zero. The employment of the people who keep your buildings operating while having no shares is more important than your speculation.
>the Fed itself clearly expected
ftfy
>>58345342
Companies operating below radar in Union land have to keep closer or they risk being unionized. I will have to look that up.

>>58345386
I'm looking at a projected 8% pay raise to get adopted as a teacher. Problem is I always essentially lag by a year but that will be extremely welcomed and should have my liquidity problems solved by next year. Now I just need to stop playing so risky.

>>58345395
>We were literally a month from seeing everything drop back to 2019 levels, and the unions showed up.
no we definitely werent a month away. union workers arent a big enough part of the economy to shift inflation up. commodities arent cheap dude oil is at $90. in 2019 it was half the price it is now.

>>58345395
I would say just give the wagies higher wages, it'll stimulate more demand for products, but the goys seem to be buying all the things they want already so idk

>>58345294
They will hold and talk hawkish before making the actual move upwards after enough data rolls in to justify it.

>>58345395
It's Fed you dumb faggot and they absolutely do care about the stock market not crashing, what the fuck are you even saying? And who are you talking about? Millions of people have retirement accounts that are tied up with the stock market.

>>58345434
I can't wait for the people saying this shit to get rekt

>>58345418
Look at all other commodity prices. We were one month out. Union workers are 10% of the labor force, though I've not been able to find their impact on GDP.
if 10% wants a 25% increase, if they are the ONLY group that gets a raise, assuming average wages and average production and average impact, what is the increase to average goods costs?

>>58345434

>>58345428
Only the lowest 20% of American spenders are spending less than before covid.

>>58345291
Do you live in a shitlib city?

>>58345395
>Which market? Which part of the market?
Treasury Futures and SOFR markets. The Fed looks at these things because stability of the markets is important. If they are looking to drastically change their policy outlook they will first signal this to the market through fed speakers or perhaps leaking to a journo like Timiraos.
There is absolutely no benefit in shitfing out of nowhere from 3 cuts to a hike. It only causes panic and makes people think the Fed doesn't know what its doing, and people losing trust in the Fed is a good way to cause inflation.

>>58345458
>We were one month out.
one month away from inflation being under 2% and somehow only 10% of the workforce can shift it out for 2 years? no dude you are being silly. wasnt the 25% over several years anyway? and it wasnt every union. but its not what drove prices up. it was the restricted supply.

i dont why some people love repeating the corporate lie that wages are the problem and thats why we need a gorillion more immigrants now to lower wages!

I now have more money in the market than I have left on my 3.5% home mortgage

>>58345480
So now there is going to be a delay as they are forced to re-arrange those expectations. Meanwhile inflation is going to rage so end of the day.. it's higher for longer.

>>58345505
yep, but higher for longer should mean inflation going down

Inflation is hot and sticky and gooey and white again. No cuts this year. 20 year to 6%. stocks correct 25%. Unironic hikes next year followed by a clown market rally and then giga crash. Calling it now.

>>58345450
>OIL and transport costs going up moar and moar
>inflootioon is coomin doown toowoords toorgoot!

>>58345135
>>58345148
>>58345164

>>58345505
>rage so
isnt it like 3%? so 1% more than it should be. they can declare victory pretty soon and just cut.

>>58345485
The Unions wanted 25% raises, and got them.
10% of the US workforce, maybe 12%.
Consider that they speak for at least 30% because firms in the area have to get close or risk being unionized or losing workers.
30% of the population takes an 18% pay hike. Now what happens to goods, and what happens to everyone else's wages to buying power?
>>58345480
I am of the same mind, in fact I said exactly the same thing. I suppose it's possible people will stop demanding higher wages across the board despite this recent hike thanks to wages. Industry may pull layoffs with no pay. Non-union producers may take smaller profits to cut against spending power losses...
These are things that can happen.
Each one has varying levels of quality outcome, and risks.
At the least, I think you can write off any reduction for this year if inflation comes in hot.

>>58345547
This anon knows.
CPI is going to be hot again (just look at commodity prices).
War with Iran also starts in the next 2 days which sends WTI Oil to $100 and inflation back towards 5%.

Puts on QQQ, IWM, SPY, NVDA, SMCI and META.

>>58345567
MY BAGS ARE PACKED. SOMEBODY ADD IRAN TO THE LIST.

>>58345547
>Unironic hikes next year followed by a clown market rally and then giga crash.
Meds.

>>58345564
>30% of the population takes an 18% pay hike
was it every union? and all in one year? but it doesnt really impact anyway. supply is the bigger issue. re: all the empty shelves. thats not because unions all went out and bought everything up.

>>58345573
My RTX went down. Maybe peace is the way.

>>58345592
Mine too. Don't give up just yet. Give war a chance.

>>58345505
>as they are forced to re-arrange those expectations
It's not happening though you dumb doomer. Saying inflation is "raging" at 2.5% is ridiculous.

>>58345561
Oil costs as much today as it did in 2009

What in the fuck are these futures? I have to sell my home. It's over

>Negroes unironically praying for war so their defense stock goes up $500.

>>58345586
No shelves are empty around here. Anyone got empty shelves?
No?
It's fuel and wages. Commodities other than petrol are dirt cheap. it's the cost to move them from commodities to goods, and the cost to move them from the factory to the store.

I'm trying to avoid agreeing with anyone in Biden that there is an outsized increase in profit margins in certain goods.
As noted, the answer is opening competition. So if JP or anyone would like to throw together food processing equipment to run at near break-even, maybe we can keep these levels reasonable. Assuming that claim wasn't just commie bullshit.

i'm negroes

>>58345625
Welcome newfriend :). Enjoy your stay here on 4chan.

>>58345625
DAS RITE.

>>58345648
>newfriend

>>58345629
>petrol

https://youtu.be/4QRWihMrjRk?t=102

>>58345564
You could work for free to help combat inflation anon

>>58345606
>Oil costs as much today as it did in 2009
retarded take.
>>58345629
>Anyone got empty shelves?
>No?
yeah i do. but not as many hence inflation isnt at 8% either. its at 3% so its not as bad now. Companies used to give 2% raises to cost of living adjustments to cover inflation. no one thought that added to the next years inflation costs. this recent phenomenon that wages are causing inflation is globalhomo bs meant to get us to accept migrants to lower wages.

>>58345669
NG is a fuel, so is coal. EUM is your mother slobbering my knob.

>>58345683
Okay then tell me why oil being at the same price it was 15 years ago is somehow a catastrophe

>>58345683
>yeah i do. but not as many
what are you short on? what market?
>this recent
This is where not having ID gets shitty. You just impugned my intents, and with no other information, left your dumb nigger comment in the breeze.
>>58345681
I do, nigger. Are you wanting more?
It's amazing how your mercenary mindset cannot be separated from a damn thing you do.

>>58345716
Yea pay your employer for the opportunity

>thinking markets will crash when election is just around the corner
let me guess, you think price goes up and down based on demand?

I shit you not. I remember Coca Cola bought Redbull and KO mooned 2 days ago on this news. Now I see this never happened. Was this a dream or possible Mandela alert?? Im seriously freaked out

buy CHWY

>>58345730
Your roads didn't get paved, faggot? Your school didn't have books?
Nigger, I will come up to Kokomo and put my foot in your ass you keep taking like this, you shitbag grifter.

Another day of blah. Which is a good thing. The less stress and whatnot your under the more apt you are to live a long life. Currently I punt 11.6% of my salary towards retirement. Actually more due to my emergency fund getting punted into (which don't exist cause the money goes one way) and my brokerage account which is just "there" for the ride. So I just do "nothing" year after year while the countdown clock to retirement day ticks on.

>>58345715
>Okay then tell me why oil being at the same price it was 15 years ago is somehow a catastrophe
look at difference between 09 and 2023.
>>58345716
>what are you short on? what market?
i dont short. im a bull.
>>58345716
>This is where not having ID gets shitty. You just impugned my intents, and with no other information, left your dumb nigger comment in the breeze.
schizo babble. there are IDs here. you repeat the same lie that corporations encourage that we need more migrants (supply) to lower wages. It doesnt actually impact inflation that much but people eat up this lie to be good little boys for their corpo daddies that they repeat it and impoverish other americans.

>>58345753
>there are IDs here.
Wow. Each thread. And yet your comment was impugning my forthrightness into everything in the future. Nothing to do with this thread alone.

You're an Ivan or a Chang, or an idiot.

I am not a corporation, I guarantee you I give more to your neighbors than you've even considered, and I will meet you in Kokomo and show you in person if you need it.

>>58345715
Energy prices going down was a supportive trend for inflation to be controlled after the financial crisis. Now energy prices are up.. and are no longer supportive of deflation.

>>58345735
Thanks just bought 100k

>>58345606
Everyone has done a victory lap for inflation of "2.5" % like you are suggesting when CPI last month y/yr was 3.2% and now it will be 3.4% based on projections. Fed puts more credit in PPI, which last month was registering at %2.. but now it projected to be 2.3% y/yr so back above target and no longer supportive of inflation coming back down anon.

KNOCK KNOCK

>>58345567
There was a note circulated this morning that if Iran blockades the strait or Hormuz oil prices are projected to be $150/barrel. So it all depends on Iran and their relationship with China.

>>58345783
Energy, as I call it in most cases, is Coal and NG and U, PetrolEUM is transport and eventually plastics.

Who the hell brought up Knightscope last thread? I looked into them and had a great laugh. Definitely not going to buy but I'll keep an eye on them when I need another laugh.

>>58345753
Retail gas prices aren't the same as crude oil prices tho. Also, there was a greater percent increase in the price of retail gas from January 09 to December 09 (44%) as there was from December 09 to December 23 (22%). Nothingburgerus Maximus.

>>58345843
>Retail gas prices aren't the same as crude oil prices tho.
thats been my point dude. hence oil at 90 now isnt the same as 09.
>% increases as if its significant
thats not quite how it works anon. how much of disposable income did people have at each time period. is gas at 4 now the same as gas at 1.8 in 09? how much of a person budget is/was it? cpi will likely tick up because of rising oil for this and maybe next report.

>>58345811
Unironically zoom the fuck out. You guys literally cannot fucking imagine longer term timeframes, it's remarkable.

>>58345221
>lol no way. Market still prices in 2.5 cuts for this year.

Every low IQ nigger believes this.

>>58345832
You can call it transportation, but its still an input cost for all economic activity. Energy use from power plant fuel to transportation fuel had since the financial crisis been a supportive trend for deflation and that trends now been buckbroken.
>>58345873
I zoomed out and gave my projection. Now what mr. anon?

>>58345834
It was I
I kind of want one

>>58345899

>>58345869
It doesn't matter if oil was relatively cheaper back in 09, the fact of the matter is that its now well elevated to the decade long trend of sagging oil prices and that is a significant contributor to inflation. Other factors contributing to inflation are also shelter prices which I believe make up about a third of the Core CPI. Housing price data for my area are as follows... My area has also had significant drops in tax revenue which is a sign of declining economic activity. But housing is more expensive ?

>>58345834
someone shilled it in the summer before the run up and i know an anon here literally bought the top. hilarious meme company.

>>58345942
>But housing is more expensive ?
blackstone just bought some housing company for billions. there not the only one obviously.

>>58345937
hold on anon, I found some supportive data that we're in a historic downtrend. Shit this one has been confirmed for over two hundred years!

>>58345904
>>58345943
Is it like the McWagie bot except that it goes up to black people and starts yelling
>YOUR STEALING YOUR STEALING YOUR STEALING
That'd be even funnier to watch.

>>58345958
Although they are able to secure more favorable mortgage terms than individual homeowners, there is still a cost of ownership for those properties.. Which means they have to raise rent rates or else their properties burn money and eat shit. Which again is supportive of a long-term sticky inflationery trend.

>>58345964
>boomers could buy bonds paying double digit
They had it on easy mode.

>>58345980
>Which again is supportive of a long-term sticky inflationery trend.
yeah. prices arent coming down anyway. nor will. but i think the fed will probably cut 1-2 times this year. they can just declare 3% victory and go with it.

>>58345964
I posted Gasoline average adjusted for inflation, and you gave me a chart of interest rates to 2020?
I don't think I gather your intent, but if you explain, I'm sure it will cover.
>>58345972
your stealing is causing you to lose. you're fucking weird, probably a victim of having your intent to do something squashed by being forced to sit at a desk for hours doing busy work.
Sorry fella, you're a man now. Pick your own adventure.

>>58345886
You can literally trade the SOFR swap at 2.5 cuts right now...

>>58345834
>Knightscop
funny, its about to have a price pump

>>58345982
A recent breakup I had was the single greatest motivater to get my finances in order. I have pretty good credit and I have not been using it aggressively enough to debt arbtriage.
>>58346000
Fed can declare victory all they want, but that still leave someone holding the bags. Long term inflation sticky at %3 will leave many institutions underwater, and rate cuts will then lead to further inflation as the economic activity expands. Inflation may not be defeated, again I re-iterate, I believe that inflation is still in an up-trend if it comes in as project tomorrow and ppi on thursday there will be strong evidence of it.
>>58346007
Why did you (You) me a chart of gasoline based on this reply chain
>>58345606
>>58345811
>>58345873
>>58345899
>>58345937 (Your retarded gasoline chart)
>>58345964

I'm going to run out of money
The yellow line is my retirement funds, but I haven't factored in penalties/taxes for early withdrawal...

>>58346053
better pump up the retirement funds.

>>58346069
Well I don't have any income... that's why it's going to run out

>>58346053
>>58346074
Have you considered a 401k loan to bridge the gap between retirement and withdrawal age?

>>58346048
>Why did you (You) me a chart of gasoline based on this reply chain
>>58345899
>Energy use from power plant fuel to transportation fuel
Oh, look. >>58345937
Maybe it's not actually all that expensive?

>all the NYCB shills have harakiri'd
Lmao I'm glad rocker is amongst them. Shit head was so pompous about his awful picks

>>58346092
>>58346074
Information from Fidelity regarding 401k:
"401(k) loans
With a 401(k) loan, you borrow money from your retirement savings account. Depending on what your employer's plan allows, you could take out as much as 50% of your savings, up to a maximum of $50,000, within a 12-month period.

Remember, you'll have to pay that borrowed money back, plus interest, within 5 years of taking your loan, in most cases. Your plan's rules will also set a maximum number of loans you may have outstanding from your plan. You may also need consent from your spouse/domestic partner to take a loan.

Pros: Unlike 401(k) withdrawals, you don't have to pay taxes and penalties when you take a 401(k) loan. Plus, the interest you pay on the loan goes back into your retirement plan account. Another benefit: If you miss a payment or default on your loan from a 401(k), it won't impact your credit score because defaulted loans are not reported to credit bureaus.

Cons: If you leave your current job, you might have to repay your loan in full in a very short time frame. But if you can't repay the loan for any reason, it's considered defaulted, and you'll owe both taxes and a 10% penalty if you're under 59½. You'll also lose out on investing the money you borrow in a tax-advantaged account, so you'd miss out on potential growth that could amount to more than the interest you'd repay yourself."

The jews have many tricks that they will play to leverage credit, I will educate the masses.

>>58346107
You are making a relative claim, that relative to 2010 its not as expensive. However, the absolute case is that the cost of energy is up.

>>58343888
That is gold.

>>58346131
Not just 2010. There are multiple years in there, and if inflation overall is up, and bbl is only about 80, then to our dollars it is not actually that expensive, even at $3.5.

The problem is that everyone's SS and savings is gutted by inflation, and those who haven't yet picked up their 15-30% wage increase this year, are still out there, wondering how they get their bills covered.
IMO.
Can we fire and retroactively undo a 25% raise for the auto manufacturers? As it is Toyota is still whooping their asses.

>>58346053
look into rule 72t

>>58346193
You are correct that a fed victory lap (read: capitulation) will destroy savers. However, there are many more reasons why the U.S economy is booming. Illegal immigration for one is creating hundreds of thousands of new consumers per month, and many institutions are having to print money to support them.

>>58346212
>>58346212
>many institutions are having to print money to support
Yup, you can look at policy all you want and wish it wasn't so. To that, you should train the militia. You shouldn't want to use it, but being competent in arrests is a great way to get vote choices that don't attend to narratives of fear mongerers.
As for "victory lap" I doubt it very much.
It's much harder to undo wage inflation afterwards, than it is to stop it up front.

I just nutted and thus the market has been solved for good
/thread

>>58346053
Poem Anon you son of a bitch. I shed tears at your funeral and everything.

>>58346195
Thanks buddy but I don't follow the rules

I have $25,000 I want to invest, is now a good time to pick up SPY/QQQ? Or should I park my money in bonds and get 3-4% annually? The stock market seems heavily overbought in my eyes, all the charts are at or very close to their all time high and they have been going sideways the past few trading sessions so it feels a bit top heavy.

I had 2K on cocoa and the broker sold automatically and I have no idea why this just happened, can anyone illuminate me please? It wasnt SL or TP I was up just like a 25%

THIS PIPER SANDLER TEEN SURVEY REVEALS THEM ALL TO BE FAGGOT NIGGERS.
ZOOMERS
SHOULD
BE
GASSED
A
S
SHE WILL NEVER BE A MAN
E
D

except for my son but he's
BASED
A
SHIT IS ALL THAT SHOULD EVER BE IN ASSES
E
DICKS ONLY GROW ON DUDES

THE BEST THINGS IN LIFE ARE FREE
BUT YOU CAN GIVE THEM TO THE BIRDS AND BEES
I WANT MONEY!

>>58343866
+0.21%

>>58343866
-4% at the start of the day, and then -100% by the end of the day.

>>58346348
Nice. Good solid number 0. Can't live without it, and nobody can prove you have it.

>>58346322
Absolute banger.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f8pclcJJDdg

>>58346295
Contract rollover is coming up. They liquidate near rollover so they aren't on the hook for 20000 tonnes of cocoa.

>>58346359
please understand, i needed the money. plus for some reason i retardedly choose etoro as my first broker

>>58346362
sweet, didnt know there was a cool version of the song

>>58346272
The market is overbought. I wouldn't invest too much

>>58346323
>He checked.

>>58346272
SQQQ

>>58346272
You can set a limit buy order 10% below the all time high. Or at the 200 MA. Hold money market/bonds until then. If you had enough money for 100 shares you could sell CSPs until rolling isn't profitable. It really doesn't matter.

>>58346272
100% into TQQQ and forget about it
>overbought
>all time high
>top heavy
NGMI

>>58346370
>so they aren't on the hook for 20000 tonnes of cocoa
THREAD THEME
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=6vYnas6q3Sg
BAKING SODA I GOT BAKING SODA

anime girls

>>58346272
actually nvm. slurp the nvda dip and thank me later.

SPY UP 2% ON OPEN

today's market was shit because bang bro didn't post this morning. wtf, bang bro

Next
>>58345891
>>58345891

>>58346585
He died in Baltimore, the bang anon from last week was a fraud.

>>58346586
based. teddy soon.

>>58346586
retarded faggot

>CPI is cool, market pumps
>CPI is hot, market pumps
FAKE AND GAY MARKET RUN BY NIGGERS

>retarded faggot
Cope faggot based Larry just bought and MOASS soon

>>58346586
Rope

>>58346571

>>58346616
>Pump
You keep using that word, I don’t think it’s means what you think it means comrade.

>>58346515
Based

>>58344957
>>58346234
>To that, you should train the militia. You shouldn't want to use it, but being competent in arrests is a great way to get vote choices that don't attend to narratives of fear mongerers.
I swear this is written by some chink pretending to be an American. Read this and explain to me what he's saying. It's just gibberish trying to come across as clever while also being written by an ESL. It genuinely feels like a Chinese graduate students communication. Trying to sound clever but devoid of value.

>>58346272
It’s always a good time to buy spy. Anyone who says otherwise in poor.

>>58346722
Accurate

new
>>58346743
>>58346743
>>58346743

>>58346722
>If you competently read your own set of laws, and understand that the US founders were Anglo and believed they themselves were governance, and if you can speak those terms in a way that is straight forward, you are certainly not an American.

I will knock you down in any of the lower 48 states, if you so need the proof of my existence as a free American citizen with the love of God in my person, and a We The People on my shoulders.

The words are fucking explicit, you urbanized cuck.
>A well regulated militia, being NECESSARY to the security of a free State, the Right of The People...
All other explanations are accepted by Subjects, and you and I are not to be those, in these US. The US wasn't built by NBC's Law and Order or West Wing writers.
Those cock sucking faggots barely got off the boat in the last 100 years, and are soaking all the good shit that real men put together.

>>58346502
>If you had enough money for 100 shares you could sell CSPs until rolling isn't profitable
good way to end up with 100 shares of some shit you don't want