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49640758 No.49640758 [Reply] [Original]

Is tomorrows 75 bp rate hike already priced in? Or will the bulls continue to suffer?

>> No.49640804

>>49640758
This one may be priced in but have they priced the next one in yet? Kek

>> No.49640847

Well, 99% of the market is expecting 75 bps, but things are never really priced in. There will definitely be a dump when he announces the 75 bps

>> No.49640866

>>49640758
Maybe, but are all the missed earnings and layoffs?

>> No.49640873

>>49640758
100 bps

>> No.49640881
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49640881

>>49640758
idk but not buying any more until tomorrow
>it might pump, everyone is expecting a mega dump

>> No.49640896

>>49640847
last time when everyone expected 50 and got 50 markets dumped

>> No.49640912

hes gonna announce they will do nothing and delay the hike

the damage is already done if they just keep the QT as its now money will slowly fade out of the markets

no need to crash it all at once

>> No.49640935

>>49640758
> 75 bp rate
don’t think they’re going to do this tomorrow. looking for 50 this time around.

>> No.49640985

>>49640935
This. I caught a little of an interview with the WSJ how did the 75bps story and he was very vague. He never said it was a direct quote from anyone, it almost sounded like the story was his opinion that the Fed had no other option than to go 75. Seems like sloppy journalism imo

>> No.49641096

>>49640912
Wrong

>> No.49641151

>>49640935
Insider here. You are half right.

>> No.49641198

W-What happens if he goes for 100bps?

>> No.49641202

He promised 50 so it isnt priced in at all. If he goes higher he will show the market that he doesnt know what hes doing / hes panicking which will trigger another massive sell off.

>> No.49641206

>>49640758
You tomorrow's 7.5% rate hike.
And no, no it is not.

>> No.49641226

>>49640758
It's 1.25%. It is not even remotely priced in. Shorting eth to 300.

>> No.49641260

>>49641198
Circuit breaker gets triggered 2 minutes after announcement

>> No.49641306

>>49641202
The inflation report Friday was worse than expected so you could say they were basing 50 on incomplete data and now that they know it's worse they may do 75. But they probably knew unofficially.

>> No.49641547

Jackhammer raise to 2.5% no survivors

>> No.49641557

>>49640758
>Is tomorrows 75 bp rate hike already priced in?
Yes, it's even beyond that, as some have been calling for 100 basis points.
But essentially the FED has a journalist from the washington post who they "leak" what their intention is prior to the event in order to avoid market chock. The journo wrote a piece yesterday saying 75 bp is very likely, which caused the significant downturn we saw yesterday.

>> No.49641600

>>49641547
>Blows his brains out live on CNBC

>> No.49641747

>>49640758
75 bps? Try 175 bps.

>> No.49641794

>>49640758
Why would you be bullish no matter what the FED does at this point. Are you retarded? It doesn't matter anymore. It is over.

>> No.49641933

>>49641747

How about 1750 points.

Thats right. 1750. How you like those apples?

>> No.49643270

>>49640758
Pricing in a recession and all of its consequences doesn't happen in one day. The dotcom bubble took two years to reach the bottom. The 2008 recession took 18 months to reach the bottom

>> No.49643379
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49643379

>>49641933
>he doesn't know about the 5000 bps hike tomorrow

>> No.49643433
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49643433

>>49640758
the entire recession is already priced in

>> No.49644346

>>49640758
Continue to Suffer.

The five eyes slept a little so Chinks and Vodka mans did go rampant living their dream to defend their communism, they secular slavery culture where everyone is miserable equally.

Burgers are fat, candle white and retard fucks. Specially now days.
But they still gonna find their way out along side with Euro whores to put this failed system back in to the original programming wich is slow conquesting through out econmic ways, since war in modern times means nuclear war and nobody wants that.

Chink Virus ---> Trillions+ Burguers Printed ---> Burguer Economic Break
Meanwhile, timed:
Russia Invasion "Muh Nazis" ---> Europoors no gas is "just a chill" ---> Economic Break

We have five eyes around this globe. They just slept for a while and here we are.

>> No.49644983

>>49640758
It'll be 50 bps tomorrow and markets will moon. Whales are loading up on the dark pools tonight.

I say this as a bear. I'm going to load up on SQQQ in a few days. End result is crash, but it's not going to be tomorrow.

>> No.49645020

>>49640758
>75 bps
haha bro they're gonna say fuck it and do 100

>> No.49645116

>>49640758
Germanon brainlet here.
What does this mean for us, enterprises, banks and retail?

>> No.49645267

>>49645116
Are you new? The world economy is over no matter what happens.

>> No.49645304

>>49645116
1 - SPX 500 is a parameter to the whole world economy.
2 - Billionaires Capital massively going out of SPX 500 to join EUA Gov and his secure slow steady gains.
3 - No economic expansion. But retraction.
4 - Whole world follows the trend.

Means basically this, to everyone.

>> No.49645325

>>49640804
This. But in truth, no one knows what the jews will try to throw at us next. Defend yourselves, anons.

>> No.49645357

>>49640912
>>49641096
Didn't he say it needed to crash and it will?

>> No.49645428

>>49641933
Checked. 1750 based points?

>> No.49645470

>>49640758
It's never priced in.

>> No.49645512
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49645512

>>49640758
100 bp hike. J-Pow is taking the bulls to the slaughter house.

>> No.49645653

>>49640758
That depends on which option will most hurt your portfolio in particular.

>> No.49645754

>>49640758
most of inflation is driven by energy, they go for the 50bp rate hike. soon production will increase, Biden is visiting the Saudis and MBS can get a lot if he starts maxing out production.

>> No.49645946
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49645946

>>49641547
Once the 10 year bond yield hits 2.2%, the entire US stock market will absolutely assfuck itself to death.

I’m not a faggot bobo about this shit either. I hold heavy fucking bags of a variety of cryptos; but the entire US stock market is literally teetering on the edge of collapse.

>it all goes completely tits up in august. Blood bath.

>> No.49645983

>>49640912
Not a chance bulltard, not a single fucking chance. It's 75 or 50 and same next month

>> No.49646034

>>49640758
50 bp tomorrow and 100 bp in july

>> No.49646133

>>49640758
50 is priced in, everything else = Armageddon.

>> No.49646548

https://twitter.com/FerroTV/status/1536812635836108801

Fed Rate Hike Guesses

Barclays +75bps
Deutsche Bank +75bps
CapEcon +75bps
Goldman +75bps
JPMorgan +75bps
Jefferies +75bps
Nomura +75bps
SocGen +75bps
TD +75bps
Wells +75bps
BNP +50bps
BofA +50bps
Citi +50bps
Credit Suisse +50bps
HSBC +50bps
Morgan Stanley +50bps

>> No.49646585

>>49640758
negative 25 bp

>> No.49646677

>>49646133
actually market has priced in another 4 50bp rises already. i think we are at peak inflation and hawkishness right now

>> No.49646724

>>49646548
if they do over 50 all credibility is lost forever and JPOW needs to leave

>> No.49646746

>>49646548
>Barclays +75bps
>Deutsche Bank +75bps
>CapEcon +75bps
>Goldman +75bps
>JPMorgan +75bps
>Jefferies +75bps
>Nomura +75bps
>SocGen +75bps
>TD +75bps
>Wells +75bps

chads

>BNP +50bps
>BofA +50bps
>Citi +50bps
>Credit Suisse +50bps
>HSBC +50bps
>Morgan Stanley +50bps

cringe

>> No.49646800

>>49645754
MBS doesn’t control oil output alone, OPEC already raised caps a bit.

Biden is going to SA to get his “bomb Iran for Israel” campaign started which will unironically send oil to to $200/barrel

>> No.49646858

>>49646677
Is that why they dumped last time they announced 50 when we knew it was going to be 50 from beforehand?

>> No.49647560

>>49640758
It's time for a Volcker shock

>> No.49647574
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49647574

>>49645946
>Once the 10 year bond yield hits 2.2%

its already at 3.3%

>> No.49647601

>>49640804
Nailed it.

>> No.49647680

>>49640758
>fed not doing the thing they were saying they will do for months
that itself would crash the market, the rates are going up by 50bps and rumors about more hawkishness is nothing more than theater for the goyim

>> No.49647705

>>49640758
everyone is expecting a 75 bp hike, so we will get a 100 bp hike which is not priced in

>> No.49647793

>>49640758
It's basically just a thing that markets will dump when they announce any sort of hike.

>> No.49647884

>>49640758
At what rate does the American government go insolvent let's just rip the bandaid off instead of thus prolonged bleed out

>> No.49648408

>>49640758
It's absolutely priced in, have you been watching anything the past couple of days?