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2023-11: Warosu is now out of extended maintenance.

/biz/ - Business & Finance


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File: 2.30 MB, 1648x1200, 073B4B64-99A0-4077-9696-39943B6326CD.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56577228 No.56577228 [Reply] [Original]

https://x.com/Partisangirl/status/1721191298106093872?s=20

The economy booms.

>> No.56577240
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56577240

>futures

>> No.56577250
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56577250

>>56577228
Wtf my belly isn't that fat. I know I was complaining in the last thread but OP is a bitch for this who can't even get the thread right.

>> No.56577253

I heard sister fucking is good to get some abs.

>> No.56577254
File: 77 KB, 1058x227, smg anon's imouto is ugly.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56577254

Reminder to cool it with the sisterfucking.

>> No.56577264

>>56577253
>I heard sister fucking is good to get some abs.
depends on how fast she can run when she's trying to get away

>> No.56577266

>>56577254
Too late >>56577253
Sister fucking is just what smiggers do and what smiggers gotta do what a smiggers gotta do

>> No.56577267
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56577267

>>56577253
>>56577254
The duality of man.

>> No.56577273
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56577273

>56577228

>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com/
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain

>Financial TV Streams:
https://watchnewslive.tv/watch-cnbc-live-stream-free-24-7/
http://www.livenewson.com/american/bloomberg-television-business.html
https://watchnewslive.tv/watch-fox-business-network-fbn-free-24-7/

>Charts:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com
https://www.koyfin.com/
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com

>Screeners:
https://finviz.com/
https://www.tradingview.com/screener
https://etfdb.com/

>Options
https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/
https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com
https://optionstrat.com/
https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices

>Pre-Market and Live data:
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/

>Calendars
https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
https://www.earningswhispers.com/calendar
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html

>Boomer Investing 101:
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started

>Misc:
https://tradingeconomics.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickers
https://market24hclock.com/
https://wallmine.com/
https://fintel.io/
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator
https://brokerchooser.com/
https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates

Previous: >>56575419

>> No.56577302

Might attempt a pro-gamer move and short LLY.

>> No.56577316

>>56577253
I've been fucking your sister for about six months, and it hasn't helped much.

>> No.56577320
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56577320

What cha talking about guys?

>> No.56577324

>>56577320
tickling girl feet

>> No.56577339

>>56577220
>>56577282
Are you guys fucking retarded? You can do pushups and crunches all day long but it's not going to burn your belly fat, that's ridiculous. Huge difference between working out a muscle group and getting rid of the fat on top of it. Jesus fucking christ.

>> No.56577349

>>56577339
Is liver king really that short? There’s no way a guy is rousing at 5’5” to be that size

>> No.56577351

>>56577339
just eat less

>> No.56577352

Calories in calories
Wololololo

>> No.56577373
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56577373

>>56577339
>He doesn't go buy deep out of the money SPX puts between sets
ngmi

>> No.56577390

>>56577228
>>56576747
>>56576756
>>56576765
Ty4glowing.
Shorties piling on risk and then going belly-up forced exposure of long-buried and can-kicked clusterfuck going back to the S&L crisis, with the derivatives speculation being one of several ways by which these entities have been trying to dig themselves out of the hole they dug for themselves in the 80s (which was itself driven by risky bullshit done to cover for the massively declining value of the dollar going back to the run on American gold during Nixon's presidency). It's cornering shorts and making them squeal like piggies all the way down motherfuckers.
>>56576621
They're just setting things up for the next scapegoat.

>> No.56577396

>>56577316
That wasn't her, that was Ben Shapiro in drag.

>> No.56577406

>>56577320
This is the sister mating general, what do you think we talk about here?

>> No.56577412

NVDA PUTS GANG

>> No.56577431

>>56577412
People still buy those?

>>56577406
What publicly traded companies offer genetic screening? Asking for a sibling.

>> No.56577433
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56577433

This was posted a month ago, but not bullish. They’re hedging sucked dick, but people bail on hedges at the top

>> No.56577440

>>56577406
Fucking Fed

>> No.56577472
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56577472

>>56577406
I'm a business man, doin business

>> No.56577487
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56577487

What signs do you look for when a sector has bottomed? Higher lows, heavy volume, and a turnaround in the smaller components, right? Anything else?

>> No.56577512
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56577512

>>56577320
>>56577406
I love my sister's feet bros

>> No.56577529

>>56577512
Does she let you suck her toes or do you have to sneak in her room and do it while she's sleeping like I do

>> No.56577534

>>56577487
A retard pump on some random earnings that leaves you priced out

>> No.56577559
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56577559

>>56577487
M&A numbers go up in the sector, then volume. Want to turnaround a smaller component? Sell to Jamie D

>> No.56577594
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56577594

WHAT THE FUCK IS GOING ON AFTER HOURS WHAT THE FUCK WHY IS IT DOING THAT WEIRD SHIT

>> No.56577601
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56577601

>>56577487
I look at what's pumping at the time.

>> No.56577630
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56577630

>>56577594

>> No.56577633
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56577633

>>56577594

Because you angered the Market Gods with your heresy.

>> No.56577640

>>56577487
I look for the price to start going back up then I get in. You can use whatever trend following voodoo you like, moving averages, 30 day breakout, volatility metrics, etc. it doesn't matter since it alll is the same. Just don't catch a falling knife

>> No.56577646
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56577646

>>56577594
I don't get it, what's happening that is so weird? Everything seems normal to me.

>> No.56577652
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56577652

>>56577594
Not my problem thanks to VIX market maker paypigs

>> No.56577701 [DELETED] 
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56577701

Welp, wife gave me a burping blowjob and handjob over the weekend for an onlyfans vid. Thanks I’m advance for all of the subs
https://onlyfans.com/burpgirl91

>> No.56577713
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56577713

>>56577701
I'm not even going to report this because I'm a degen pervert too, but goddamn bro, post this shit on x or the reddit coomer zone.

>> No.56577720

>>56577701
I hope you and your wife gets aids. Reported for spam

>> No.56577721 [DELETED] 

>>56577713
Nah I always get her the most subs out of /smg/. The ban is always worth it

>> No.56577723
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56577723

>>56577701
Hahahahahahaha lmao based

>> No.56577728
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56577728

>>56577701

>> No.56577737
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56577737

>>56577701
And people here say the sister fuckers are the obscene ones.

>> No.56577740
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56577740

>56577701

>> No.56577741
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56577741

>>56577721
At least reinvest in more/better lighting and camera.

>> No.56577742
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56577742

>>56577701
>"Why do you invest part of your portfolio internationally anon?"

>> No.56577754
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56577754

>>56577741
>he still uses kornheiser memes

>> No.56577758

>>56577487
higher highs and higher lows on the daily. Anything else is hopium gambling.

>> No.56577763
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56577763

>>56577754
nta but you don't want to see my oldest memes.

>> No.56577764
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56577764

are we back or is it over?

>> No.56577766
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56577766

Damn that was fast.

>>56577754
Everything old is new again.

>> No.56577768

>Every /smg/ thread is worse than the last.

>> No.56577771
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56577771

>>56577763

>> No.56577772
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56577772

>>56577764
Yes.

>> No.56577775
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56577775

Look at what they did to my smol boy

>> No.56577786
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56577786

>>56577771
I can't believe she's now a grown up doing grown up hoowah things.

>> No.56577800

>>56577775
Small caps are like small tits: nobody prefers them if they have any other alternative.

>> No.56577816
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56577816

>>56577786
You just know Jon Hamm passed her over cause he's a good guy and it drove her nuts.

>> No.56577901

What will warren buy with all that cash? Oxy? A bank? He hates real estate right?

>> No.56577929

>>56577901
he sold his big reit purchases he made and bought a bunch of construction companies
>https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffett-sold-only-reit-162912834.html

>> No.56577936

>>56577431
hello poor

>> No.56577938
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56577938

>>56577763
I do.

>> No.56577949

Yeah

>> No.56578017

>>56576509
Covid has been over for years, airlines are in secular decline.

>> No.56578039

>>56578017
They've been a shit investment since they were invented

>> No.56578084
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56578084

W-whats a burping blowjob?

>> No.56578092
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56578092

>>56578084
You've never gotten the ol burpee?

>> No.56578095

>>56578039
Not as shit as family. Im going to end up having to move. Again. Because family decided to sell house from under me.

>> No.56578109
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56578109

How much trouble would I get into writing a polite but threatening letter to a CEO to not fuck up their earnings?

>> No.56578110

>>56578092
Nevermind, googled it.
I feel like like this could be held against me if I ever run for office.

>> No.56578127

>>56578092
Imagine watching your TQQQ calls moon on your phone while Jeanna is giving you some of that legendary burpee

>> No.56578130
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56578130

>>56578110
>Implying anyone but the most degen of degenerates get a chance to even campaign

>> No.56578168
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56578168

>>56577938
I just rememembered I don't have them saved on this computer.

>> No.56578202

>>56578168
I need to merge my meme folders on my different computers with rsync or something.
I'm just so fucking lazy.

>> No.56578227

>>56577320
>>56577512
>>56577529
fuck i wish i had a sister so bad bros

>> No.56578268
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56578268

>futures

>> No.56578269

>>56577741
>>56577737
>>56577728
What was posted??? Fuck I miss all the good shit.

>> No.56578303

>>56577786
>pancake hangers

>> No.56578330

my step sister blocked my number, you guys give terrible advice

>> No.56578331
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56578331

Another day. Of doing "nothing". I won't be doing nothing tomorrow either. Leaving at noon for the rest of the day to vote which they pay me to do. The whole voting process is maybe uh 30 minutes of my time allowed which is 4hrs. Rest of the 3.5hrs is me kicking back doing nothing at home.

>> No.56578332
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56578332

>>56578330
Git gud.

>> No.56578413

>>56578227
SOXS sister fuckers! We gaan

>> No.56578424

>>56578269
porn involving two hairy obese whales

>> No.56578441

I'm 33 and my net worth is 535k.

>> No.56578450

RMCO

>> No.56578456

>>56578441
i'm 38 and my net worth is roughly -535k
and i only work 3 months a year

>> No.56578470

>>56578441
fuck, I can still make it
OXY GO TO 70 REEEEEE

>> No.56578504

market lost steam, big crap down tomorrow

>> No.56578515
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56578515

>>56578441
36 and roughly ~1mil

>> No.56578539

why did the voice guy on cnbc change, am I the only autist who noticed?

>> No.56578542

Im going to end up taking a lot of shrooms and going to try and figure out why im so damn broke

>> No.56578553

I only invest in a total market index fund

>> No.56578557

>>56578542
it's cause you're spending too much on shrooms

>> No.56578565

>>56577254
No

>> No.56578600
File: 83 KB, 1138x1200, 1668190666297923.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56578600

SPY puts are a threat to our Democracy

>> No.56578607
File: 19 KB, 668x150, image_2023-11-06_191457281.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56578607

Bros
This is bullshit. How come they can get away with endless green but we can't?
BAN IT
BAN IT NOW I WANT GREEN I WANT GREEN I WANT GREEN

>> No.56578610

>>56578269
hot shit that I coomed twice so far

>> No.56578614
File: 640 KB, 885x1034, image_2023-11-06_191615927.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56578614

>>56578607
>SOUTH KOREA STOCKS JUMP 5.7% AFTER SHORT SELLING BAN
HOLY FUCK AMERICA WHAT THE FUCK IS YOUR PROBLEM DO THE SAME THING WHY THE FUCK DO YOU LET THIS SHIT BE LEGAL LOOK HOW HAPPY EVERYONE IS THIS SHIT IS BANNED IN ALMOST EVERY COUNTRY AND IT WAS BANNED IN 2008 TO STOP THE CRASH BAN IT BAN IT BAN IT BAN IT BAN IT

>> No.56578629
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56578629

>>56578607
>Ban short selling
n-nani?!

>> No.56578634

>>56578607
biggest sell signal ive ever seen

>> No.56578660

>>56578607
This mostly enriches companies that are literally scams, like all pharmashit.

>> No.56578670

>>56578634
>>56578660
If short selling is so amazing, why has it been banned during every significant US market crash?

>> No.56578675
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56578675

>>56578614
>>56578607
>turns out options are fucking cancer and people can invest without fear if they are removed

>> No.56578679
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56578679

>>56578670
i know youre baiting me with that post janny

>> No.56578683
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56578683

>>56578607
>the gme schitzos were right

>> No.56578686

>>56578670
they ....dont like to loose

>> No.56578687

Already bought a fuckton of EWY
Would have been up 14% in a few days off this news if I pulled the trigger earlier.
Imagine being able to buy and sell stocks based on value alone, holy shit its so antisemetic!

>> No.56578701

>>56578607
Bobos still want to think they are the good guys. Fuck you faggots

>> No.56578716

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_-u1Pjce4Lg
how do i invest in france? they're jewing the west africans

>> No.56578744
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56578744

>>56578701
>good guys
lol
lmao!

>> No.56578748
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56578748

mumu. this pump is fizzling as fast as it started. hope you have your sell orders lined up..

>> No.56578749

>>56578744
Don't you have a dog to fuck or something?

>> No.56578755

>>56577228
Uhm HOT

>> No.56578758

>>56578748
I buy every dip

>> No.56578759
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56578759

>can't wait to watch Korea have a beautiful green year while the US shits the bed again
>sHOrT sELLinG iS GoOd 4 da MaRKeTz GOYIM

>> No.56578763

>>56578749
Soon, seeing your sister later tonight actually. Don't worry i'll show her a good time.

>> No.56578769
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56578769

Was playing fortnite eradicating zoomers and this song came up. Made me think of Bloomberg anon and scoopsies. Both zoomers who have lost their way... I'll always be here for all the zoomers in this general to guide you along your way to success

https://music.youtube.com/watch?v=7wBgcalM4c4&si=PnbKpbYjcleSoZdu

>> No.56578777

>>56578670
Good guy government protecting scared and confused investors after bottom is reached

>> No.56578778
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56578778

>>56578763
That's funny because I just had a threesom with her and your sister too

>> No.56578783
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56578783

>>56578769
Where is the weekly update?
I haven't been able to invest in weeks because I have NO IDEA what is going on!

>> No.56578806
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56578806

>>56578783
Rocker never recovered from this year's UONE fiasco
Please understand

>> No.56578808

>>56578769
Rocker get off your ass and make a video already. I miss staring into your sexy eyes deeply while you stare at the camera ans talk... I pretend we are having dinner together, just me and you.

>> No.56578834

>>56578783
>>56578808
I have to finish this big job at work first. I'm working 7 day weeks. After Thanksgiving, the updates will be back

>> No.56578837

>>56578607
>Having persistently misprinted things in a market economy is good!
You should move to Korea if you like it so much.

>> No.56578849

>>56578837
>encouraging the markets to go up is BAD!

>> No.56578850

>>56578607
Didn't they also do this before the covid crash?

>> No.56578863

>>56578834
we need the sister fucking update asap fatboy

>> No.56578885

>>56578849
Yeah if it means they're going to be mispriced it's very bad. How retarded are you?

>> No.56578896
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56578896

>>56578885
>not le few mispriced stocks!!!!!

>> No.56578957
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56578957

>>56577390
>people who disagree with me are glowies
Faggot

>> No.56578966
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56578966

Another Pamp...

>> No.56578976
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56578976

>>56578966
...before another Dump

>> No.56578988
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56578988

>>56577228
I just wanna give a shoutout to the Cytube niggas. You know who you are. We love you niggas. Especially the ones organizing this shit. Imagine.

My niggas is so secure that they have kept this consistent for this many weeks despite all your gay bitches.

And I know you have many gay bitches. But you won't find any of them around here. I send respect to the Cytube niggas.

>> No.56579001

>>56578896
Why not just define the stocks to be priced at infinity and make everyone rich?

>> No.56579003
File: 559 KB, 1651x856, Screenshot 2023-11-06 190504.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579003

favela bros....

>> No.56579006

>>56577228
Are they fat or pregnant?

>> No.56579010
File: 757 KB, 659x542, 169930124036386.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579010

does anyone have actually good recommendations for podcasts/content that isn't free, sponsored youtube fear mongering?
stg all of these channels that keep showing up in my feed are just the same 10 people incestuously revolving around different channels, selling portfolio management, and being really good at saying the same doom and gloom talking points
i need opposing view points and more meaningful data research that isn't just an hour-long advertainment video
don't even care if i have to pay for it

>> No.56579020

>>56579001
>muh infinity price!
Do you not understand how stocks work dumbass? What about currency?

>> No.56579027

>>56579010
FX Evolution does a almost daily recap, and he's pretty neutral with good content

>> No.56579034
File: 326 KB, 604x594, 1659740681943482.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579034

>>56579020
>Do you not understand how stocks work
the irony is really fucking something

>> No.56579038

Are uranium mining stocks good? Looking at TCEC new Canadian stock

>> No.56579040

>>56579003
Dios mio...

But why not just buy PBR instead?

>> No.56579055
File: 42 KB, 646x595, Nervous, sweating Pepe.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579055

>South Korea's KOSPI Index falls by 2% to 2,451.64.
W-where's our short covering rally, Koreabros?

>> No.56579056

>>56579010
blockworks macro is pretty good

>> No.56579068

>>56579003
Future of the USA. We're at 2011-2012 in that chart. I recall them saying that we would likely enter another recession in 2014 when the BRICS slid again. Don't think it was the BRICS at the time, but there was a relationship.

>> No.56579075

>>56577929
Hm, does he expect a build boom?
Isn't it super risky in a recession?

>> No.56579113

how do i invest in china increasing aggresion against taiwan?

>> No.56579119
File: 15 KB, 594x221, jmp.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579119

>>56579055
Last night's 5% rally from the ban on short covering wasn't good enough for ya gooks?

>> No.56579136

>>56579113
Short TSM
Long INTC
Long GFS
Long MEXX

>> No.56579148
File: 124 KB, 602x597, 1694735546736969.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579148

>>56579113
I just want them to fucking do something already.

>> No.56579177

>>56579148
if they don't do anything before AUKUS completes the US base in sw aus then they arent going to do anything

>> No.56579181

>>56579119
What does this mean?

>> No.56579193

There needs to be a chart that shows anyone here who bought UNG is only a faggot but not a NIGGER, and anyone who bought BOIL is neither a faggot nor a NIGGER.

>> No.56579206
File: 3.21 MB, 3840x2715, Basel_3_Basel_4_resize.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579206

>>56579148
>>56579177
they an't doing sh!t anytime soon


>In June 1944 it was estimated that the Japanese had around 100,00 men from all services on the island and that they could add reinforcements from the China mainland. Finally it was acknowledged that there would be a limit to the number of Allied troops that could be landed because of the lack of availability of an easily breached coastline and that much of the mountainous terrain would be difficult to penetrate and capture. Even the west coast was deemed impractical for landings because of mud flats and sand bars.
>The operation was ultimately put into abeyance (but never formally cancelled) in October 1944. Additionaly, the Japanese having realised that using airfields in China was part of the Allies thinking, had consolidated their grip on them.
>Had it proceeded, Causeway would have involved 302,000 men of the US Army and 100,000 men of the US Marine Corps, and would have started with the landings of amphibious landings on the southern coast of Formosa (see map below).

https://grahamthomasauthor.wordpress.com/2020/06/20/operation-causeway/


>>56579181
I an't know finance guru. Go ask Jamie. He's selling JPM stock throughout 2024 because of Basel III rules start up.

>> No.56579210

is there a triple leveraged etf i can buy to invest in the homebuilding sector?

>> No.56579215

>>56579193
We live in a world where you have to be either a faggot, a nigger, or poor (which is what anybody trading that shit is).
Damn, that is tough buddy.

>> No.56579222

>>56579210
NAIL, but you missed the rally

>> No.56579227

>>56579206
is Basel going to end the era of free money? because i need more credit card balance transfers

>> No.56579255
File: 679 KB, 1920x1080, vlcsnap-2023-11-04-13h36m30s416.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579255

>>56579227
>debtmaxing post QE
NGMI

You got one... maybe two years tops... to quit your drug habit

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y3JNzQPqmQ4

>> No.56579264
File: 51 KB, 882x500, BEAR TA.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579264

>>56579255
Is this the kind of schizo shit bears listen to?

>> No.56579280
File: 243 KB, 1201x725, 2023-11-06 17_51_34-Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Spike - Free Weekly Technical Analysis Chart - McC.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579280

>>56579264
no, it's what market timers listen to. I'm long until 2025-2026

https://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/bitcoin_futures_open_interest_spike/

>> No.56579306

>>56579255
i'm trying to time it right so i stop paying my credit cards at the same time as everyone else so it doesnt look as fraudelent

>> No.56579324

>>56579210
Home prices in my area are averaging 320k currently. During peak mania they were 255k. Rates have gone up 5% on mortgages and the average home selling is now 320k.

>> No.56579328

>>56579255
ah yes i remember the rampant fiery but peaceful protests of the last solar max, april 2014

>> No.56579372
File: 2.44 MB, 4000x3000, 20035391729_2e46b504d3_o.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579372

Can someone explain to me, a superb fairywren, why interest rates going up causes financial loss for banks? Looking for a detailed explanation and I know it's not just from selling the old bonds at a loss to buy new ones for a better deal.

> Moody’s estimates that the US banking industry is facing approximately $650 billion in unrealized losses, as reported by Reuters.

>> No.56579379

>>56579136
>Long MEXX
EWW

>> No.56579416

>>56579372
It's exactly that. They gave out loans / bought bonds at under the current 5% yield/rate. That means a loan to someone else is getting them less interest despite actual risk vs current government bonds. Also if they were to sell or trade this bond(ownership of the debt) they would be selling a sub 5% yielding bond while the market has access to 5% yielding bonds. When rates go down, your bond at a higher yield increases in value. When rates go up, your bond at a lower yield decreases in value.

You don't have to sell a bond, you can simply wait till maturity and make your interest(obviously if inflation is high, the real yield is negative). So this is why it's an unrealized loss. Still the banks can now lend money at 5%+ and even park money at the Fed or buy bonds. All of these things are positive for bank balance sheets and it's why they have posted decent earnings despite all the gloom

>> No.56579418

>>56579372
Interest rates going up can be good for banks as they have since QE made depositors the baggies paying them nothing and pocketing the difference. However, banks are also loan originators which means if they book a loan at 3% and then fed risk-free rates go up 50bp. They are essentially absorbing a loss on value. However, that is hidden by financial rooks of marking securities as held to maturity.. Meaning their value does not have to calculated and reported quaterly. HOWEVER, those rules are disappearing so now all securities will need to be marked to market which means Bank of America will have to report their securities trading operations (at the semi worse) as having a 60% or more of a total loss. This is bad for banks because it makes them more suspectible to depositor runs where they have to sell off securities to pay people immediately (which Fed said it will bank roll banks if that happens) or at the worse it creates a financially overweight liabilities compared to what they hold. etc

>> No.56579426

>>56579177
What base? I'm only familiar with the red desert. Slurpt up the sea and sky.

>> No.56579436
File: 182 KB, 828x677, cats.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579436

>futures

>> No.56579437
File: 510 KB, 482x661, Krugman - Homo Economicus.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579437

>>56579372
Suppose I have a 2 year treasury at 5%; very roughly I paid $90 to get paid $100 in 2 years. After 1 year the value should tick up to $95, since half the bagholding is done. So now on our books is effectively a 1 year treasury at 5%.

But suppose at this future point, Krugman has come to power, inflation is roaring, and the 1 Year US treasury rate is 10%. Now those new treasuries are offering $100 in a year but cost only $90. Same thing as our bond, but cheaper! If we had to sell our bond we'd lose $5.

If you're a bank you can keep that $5 loss "unrealized" by promising to baghold that final year until you're paid out the full $100. But if customers try to all demand their cash at once, you may be forced to sell and realize that loss.

>> No.56579453
File: 332 KB, 607x390, Screenshot 2023-11-06 211157.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579453

>>56579215

>> No.56579460

>>56579372
in case it has gone over your head at any point
you don't have to sell an asset for it to lose value on your books

>> No.56579464

>>56579372
>Can someone explain to me, a superb fairywren, why interest rates going up causes financial loss for banks?
They've gone up 6000% in like two years. Do the math. Movement like that has an effect, it just takes a while. War is the only thing we know of that can undue rapid inflation. Reset the market.

>> No.56579466

>>56579437
>krugman
Can you stop posting that faggot? I had to learn his retarded theories in college economics. He got his awards for being Jewish, his theories are "fax machine" tier takes.

>> No.56579484

>>56579437
>Suppose I have a 2 year treasury at 5%; very roughly I paid $90 to get paid $100 in 2 years. After 1 year the value should tick up to $95, since half the bagholding is done. So now on our books is effectively a 1 year treasury at 5%.

But suppose at this future point, Krugman has come to power, inflation is roaring, and the 1 Year US treasury rate is 10%. Now those new treasuries are offering $100 in a year but cost only $90. Same thing as our bond, but cheaper! If we had to sell our bond we'd lose $5.

If you're a bank you can keep that $5 loss "unrealized" by promising to baghold that final year until you're paid out the full $100. But if customers try to all demand their cash at once, you may be forced to sell and realize that loss.
what is a Jew

>> No.56579492

>>56579464
>War is the only thing we know of that can undue rapid inflation. Reset the market.
To expand:
Deflate risk for loan defaults by telling people not to think about moving, but settle in and prepare for battle. It's a psychological trick. Settles the markets down, prices sustain, etc. CRAB

>> No.56579493
File: 97 KB, 660x571, Wtf graph.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579493

>>56579466
How can you not love this nonsense? https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/1717553303033196637

>> No.56579497

>>56579484
Bonds and related banking activities are extremely semitic, yes. That shit was probably first written down in the Torah.

>> No.56579498

>>56579493
Holy shit I'm dying
Someone get this man off twitter

>> No.56579503

>>56579484
>If you're a bank you can keep that $5 loss "unrealized" by promising to baghold that final year until you're paid out the full $100. But if customers try to all demand their cash at once, you may be forced to sell and realize that loss.
what is a Jew

Yes exactly, this is what I don't get. You mean to tell me that the banks won't actually be at a loss if they hold to maturity, it just won't be AS profitable as if they chased profits and sold at a loss to jump into something else? So they are going to create all of this market risk and even force a few bank closures by chasing these profits when doing nothing would still be profitable anyways?

>> No.56579510

>>56579493
>relationship
right in the feels

>> No.56579512

>>56577228
Whenever I see fetish material outside of fetish boards, it feels so much hotter...

>> No.56579514
File: 44 KB, 750x598, Despairing old Japanese man.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579514

>>56579510
>tfw no longer prime age

>> No.56579516

>>56579255
>>56579328
I'm not wasting my time with that video, but it's probably fair statement that is knee jerkingly taken in some sort of horoscope way.
>More sun = more human violence
Probably, especially if they're going back far in human history
>Soldier
>But that's only part time
>Need to farm
>More sun means more food means I need to farm less
>King/Lord/local Warlord is able to warmonger more since his subjects need to farm less

>> No.56579523

>>56579493
wtf does this mean? inflation is transitory for 10 years?

>> No.56579528

>>56579514
I'm a man, always prime age.

>> No.56579537

>>56579516
dont ever at me again faggot i'm not a solar maxtard

>> No.56579548

Found some gems over the years, just saying some of them were pretty damn good, and I had like a moment of relevation.

>> No.56579549

>>56579503
The customer gets to create that risk because it is their money being used to buy those bonds that have currently lost market value. Should banks be able to activate HODL mode on their customers until the bonds mature and they can afford to pay out?

>> No.56579552

>>56579523
>what does it mean
It means nothing. That's what makes it so funny. Krugman is a retard that posts random shit and gets awards. Look into his background and his take on the internet. He's a jew so he gets credit for being a jew and stealing ideas.

>> No.56579568

>>56579503
>So they are going to create all of this market risk and even force a few bank closures by chasing these profits when doing nothing would still be profitable anyways?
The entire point of the BTFP program Powell created earlier this year was to prevent this. Basically "if your customers are making a run on you, we will lend you $95 cash for your actually-$90-bond". The Fed's charging for that program, so banks aren't chasing any profits when it comes to unrealized losses.

Where banks are fucked is customers no longer park money at Joe Blow Credit Union for 0% when money market funds offer 5%. So JBCU either has to start shelling out more interest payments to customers (off their crappy 2% yielding bonds = straight up losing money despite reasonable lending behavior) or lose deposits outright (i.e. have to sell those bonds in order to cash people out, again, losing money on perfectly sound loans to the government).

>> No.56579609

>>56579568
This is why they used to pay higher rates in savings accounts that restricted how quickly you could pull your money out.
Yet another thing ZIRP fucked up.

>> No.56579619
File: 58 KB, 756x325, 1699319579108334.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579619

Oh my god I can't wait to see people start jumping from buildings in Langley, VA.

>> No.56579629

>>56579609
Yeah, and notice that torrent of cash into money market funds is only happening because the Fed was slow reacting to inflation and hiked retardedly fast. They've caused this clusterfuck in multiple ways.

>> No.56579648
File: 99 KB, 992x920, Clandestine trenchcoat Bobo.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579648

>>56579619
Look up BAC's options chain. June 2024, put open interest.

>> No.56579676

Having my first trip from my fresh grow of golden teachers. Will let you know if I receive any forbidden insights

>> No.56579730

>>56579619
$650b is nothing in current year

>> No.56579742

>>56579010
Yeah I had to stop watching most of this faggots, every week is the same perma bear shit and when the markets pump they double and triple down on the perma shit.

>> No.56579751
File: 52 KB, 170x166, file.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579751

i just bought 6 28oz cans of bianco dinapoli tomatoes from amazon with my gains

>> No.56579759

>>56579751
How do you know they're not ground baby fetuses marinated in arsenic from China?

>> No.56579768
File: 579 KB, 1014x587, snyder warning (not clickbait).png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579768

>>56579010
avoid #1

>> No.56579769

>>56579751
What you gon cook wit it brah?

>> No.56579771
File: 33 KB, 657x527, 1638934732679.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579771

>>56579759
as long as they taste good i dont care

>> No.56579773
File: 1.01 MB, 920x615, Greatest Depression.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579773

>>56579010
avoid #2

>> No.56579777
File: 501 KB, 749x483, file.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579777

>>56579769
bought an indoor pizza oven that works pretty well so that's my new hobby. also sunday sauce of course

>> No.56579779
File: 812 KB, 1113x1278, HIDE THE PAIN CONSULTING.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579779

>>56579010
avoid #3

>> No.56579790
File: 1.48 MB, 1289x1275, Screenshot 2023-03-21 141517.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579790

>>56579010
avoid #4

>> No.56579794
File: 1.29 MB, 1284x1285, Screenshot 2023-03-21 141632.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579794

>>56579010
avoid #5

>> No.56579796
File: 123 KB, 1138x1003, IMG_1023.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579796

>>56579493
>How can you not love this nonsense?
What do you mean anon?

>> No.56579806
File: 176 KB, 1080x1969, 1699326347166.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56579806

KEK

>> No.56579812

What a fake little gay pump at close

>> No.56579815

>>56579806
They hated him because he spoke the truth.

>> No.56579822

>>56579812
truly all day a day of
>hmm, retail bought puts expiring for monday
>can't let these puts expire ITM..
>okay, now we've closed and they expired worthless, let it happen

>> No.56579840

>>56579648
i'm too lazy for that i'll just buy whatever bac puts i can get

>> No.56579845

>>56577228
post more chubby cuties

>> No.56579851

RIP WeWork

>> No.56579864

>>56579006
Judging by the image it looks to me like they were moments ago skinny Stacie bitches but after getting rejected and being enabled by magical powers anon cursed them and insta turned them into fatties in the middle of their cheer routine humiliating them and filling them with fear over what the fuck just happened to them.

Something like that I’m guessing based on how surprised everyone looks in the background. Really though who knows without context. But yeah they don’t look pregnant to me just like tubby lard asses.

>> No.56579878

>>56579010
Honestly man the Boomer Bogleheads are right and their strategy is pretty damn good with a long view. Ben Felix is a solid tuber who just goes with research and recommends the usual — passive broad market low fee index funds are best for most people. VT and chill baby, VT and chill.

>> No.56579880

>>56579768
somehow, every esoteric way a dollar can be shifted overseas plays into this crooked toothed jew's permabear meme thesis

>> No.56579882

hold on
shouldn't the mortgage market be collapsing just like the bond market

>> No.56579887

>>56579851
rip softeebros
>>56579882
yeah but its collapsing upwards. Housing is up 10% y/yr in my area with rates being up 5%.

>> No.56579888

>>56579882
yes, but it's a 3-6 month lagging indicator

>> No.56579948

>>56579880
kek

>> No.56579984

>>56579887
Rates only raised 5% over the past year?

>> No.56580006

>>56579984
3%>8.3% in my area.

>> No.56580048

>>56579882
>bond market collapsing
dead meme,
never happened

>> No.56580053
File: 135 KB, 1977x855, Screenshot 2023-10-31 at 17-30-29 S&P_Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580053

>>56579887
>Housing is up 10% y/yr in my area
case schiller confirms

>> No.56580055

>>56579864

OK that's your image isn't it.

It's fine, just be honest about your incredibly specific fetish anon.

>> No.56580070
File: 70 KB, 526x686, 1614871075638.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580070

>>56580053
But only 1% over 16 months.

>> No.56580085

>>56579777
>indoor pizza oven
brand and tips? Been thinking of a pizza diet next year. make my own dough ets. Pies of all variety/

>> No.56580174

>>56577320
Reported for a advertising and begging
I encourage all Anons to do the same

Buy. An. Ad. Inorganic shill (shit game btw)

>> No.56580256
File: 1.56 MB, 498x498, 1664936788986448.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580256

>futures
https://youtu.be/itOHo8qQBMc

>> No.56580279
File: 217 KB, 488x472, 1d0416739c31389a56dafaf0a2e8cf79.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580279

Bond yields have arguably been on a very steady downtrend since 1987, after absolutely peaking in 1981. What do bears think is different about this time?? Seriously how the fuck does anyone look at the chart for bonds and think they'll ever explode to a level that will blow up the global economy?

>> No.56580301
File: 122 KB, 498x241, image_2023-11-06_232949658.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580301

>>56580256
>dj anon is back
Holy shit bros its 2020 all over again

>> No.56580305
File: 2.44 MB, 680x331, 1658261152554397.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580305

>>56580301
It's always 2020 if your heart is in the right place

>> No.56580312
File: 2.97 MB, 640x358, halo-dance[1].gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580312

>>56580305
>reminder that dj anon used to post when the market would be green the next day

>> No.56580318

>>56579437
>rate is 10%. Now those new treasuries are offering $100 in a year but cost only $90
do you retards not know basic multiplication?
10% of 90 is not 10, is 9.

>> No.56580328

>>56580312
>ywn be up in da halo club

>> No.56580380
File: 43 KB, 784x657, 1691090169183386.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580380

>>56579777
nice

>> No.56580472
File: 72 KB, 1536x952, main_stages_bubble.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580472

>>56580279
>Denial

>> No.56580511
File: 4.00 MB, 1775x1311, Les Bogs 21.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580511

>'e bought?

>> No.56580532

>>56580511
why r girls like that lol
how am i supposed to take them seriously after this pic
i was just starting to respect them

>> No.56580570
File: 352 KB, 1232x868, 1699153979815767.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580570

>>56578607
I will laugh if south korea causes a global credit crisis event kek

>> No.56580598

>China exports cratering
That's because I'm unwilling to buy a new pair of Chi-fi IEMs and I rather combine 2 different pairs thanks to the possibility to change cables.

Also because the prices have not gone down for 4-5 year old IEM and Aliexpress is worthless and I don't want to buy from Temu.

Fuck you China, you wanted it this way.

>> No.56580617

Does anyone have the ?INVESTIGATORS could be here" image?

>> No.56580628

>>56580598
Why are the exports getting heemed? I assume it's due to the high strength of DXY

>>56580472
For me, we're at return to normal / bull trap

>> No.56580647

>>56580279
The fed has to raise rates otherwise goyim might profit too much

>> No.56580658

>>56580647
>>56580279
I'm buying monthly bonds with 4.8 to 5.1% yield and I'm having a great time

>> No.56580671
File: 83 KB, 680x383, 1563326595072.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580671

>>56580532
>i was just starting to respect them
mistake

>> No.56580677
File: 173 KB, 942x1056, SVIX.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580677

SVIX bros we are up 30% in less than a week. Have we solved the stock market? Are we trading gods? I think the answer is an emphatic yes

>> No.56580732

>>56580677
Wtf is svix and isn't anyone worried they're making all these vix based etfs? Wouldn't this be the time to buy puts on it?

>> No.56580733

>>56580658
Same here. Might miss out on stock gainz but whatevs
>Gets paid handsomely enough to wait

>> No.56580738

>>56580733
If my trading/investing is anything to go by, this is the best use of my money anyways

>> No.56580756

>>56580732
>Wtf is svix
SVIX is a -1x short of 30 day constant maturity VIX futures contracts
>isn't anyone worried they're making all these vix based etfs?
Unlike during the runup to volpocalypse in 2018 when the VIX based ETNs were a majority of VIX futures end of day trading volume, the current crop of ETNs is a tiny fraction of overall VIX futures volume. If and when that changes you would then need to worry but we are nowhere near that point today
>Wouldn't this be the time to buy puts on it?
Whatever trade you're trying to express with SVIX puts could probably be structured more efficiently with something else

>> No.56580777

>>56580756
>Unlike during the runup to volpocalypse in 2018 when the VIX based ETNs were a majority of VIX futures end of day trading volume, the current crop of ETNs is a tiny fraction of overall VIX futures volume
I'm sure that'll save you when we get a repeat of 2020.

Should be profitable as long as you remember to treat VIX shorting as a trade though. Don't let your position scale itself up infinitely. Take profits.

>> No.56580796
File: 298 KB, 1845x1065, Selection_289.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580796

>>56580777
>I'm sure that'll save you when we get a repeat of 2020
When we get a repeat of 2020 I will stop out of my equity longs (whatever form they happen to be in at the time be it SVIX or something else) long before we get anywhere near far enough down to do serious damage to my account
>Should be profitable as long as you remember to treat VIX shorting as a trade though
Of course. I monitor the cash VIX and VIX futures term structure directly and barely even look at SVIX itself unless I'm making a trade. I monitor the ratios between the different cash VIX expirations very carefully always looking for trouble. As soon as I see it I'm out of SVIX and my VIX futures shorts. I would suggest anybody seriously interested in shorting VIX futures to do the same. Never ever do anything kind of TA on the VIX ETNs like SVIX, UVXY, etc. that's a fool's errand. Always make trade decisions based on your opinion of what the underlying is doing and monitor volatility metrics for any anomalous behavior and get the fuck out immediately at any sign of serious danger

>> No.56580837

>>56580777
>tfw using both LABD and LABU to hedge my bioshits

>> No.56580888
File: 114 KB, 1042x784, devilsbargain.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580888

New paper by AQR showing why covered call ETFs are a scam. XYLD bros, JEPI bros I don't feel so good

>> No.56580892
File: 346 KB, 640x640, cc9cd5e7655d15cfd26c500d5d843a95e08da25c597166dd69fe6df4fc33eaae.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580892

>>56577228
I hope I get a gf like that someday, but naturally blonde and who enjoys being an indulgent and gluttonous fattie (but still showers and is clean). I'll invest hard to make it so I can spoil her until she wobbles all over when she walks. We'll retire early and spend all our time playing vidya together while I pop cookies into her mouth, or snuggling in front of a fire while I rub her belly. I'll make her feel loved and comfy, and fatten her up even more with the pregnancy weight of 4 beautiful blonde children, who I will teach to hunt, forage and fight, as well as give them a full classical education. We'll pass away peacefully in each other's arms, surrounded by 16 blonde grandchildren, holding hands on a sunny day. Fuck thai hookers and shiny plastic cars, this is everything I want in life.

>> No.56580895

>>56580888
Money quote:
>Since 1999, the model has lost money almost across the entire target-yield spectrum because, on average, those call contracts were settled at higher prices than they were sold for. That means the seller needed to pay the differences to close the trades, resulting in losses

>> No.56580899
File: 42 KB, 640x640, 1698356750544746.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580899

Uh, /smg/ glowniggerbros, what's happening?? I thought that the congressional investigation into us telling retail to buy the top before a big crash was just a schizo conspiracy theory??? First Ukraine getting defunded and now this?? W-we're not really going to Guantanamo Bay, a-are we???

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1721743484116169032
https://judiciary.house.gov/sites/evo-subsites/republicans-judiciary.house.gov/files/evo-media-document/EIP_Jira_Ticket_Staff_Report_11-6-23_Clean.pdf

>> No.56580903

Its over oilers. Biden won. Spr getting filled

>> No.56580911

>>56580903
I read something about another cut by the saudis. Was that old news?

>> No.56580917

>>56580895
But if you're smart enough to trade options you can just do it yourself. And at that point you might as well be a big boy and trade mini futures

>> No.56580934

>>56580917
I happen to agree. A large part of my portfolio is devoted to an iron condor/calendar spread (predicated on where volatility is since they have the opposite exposure to Vega) and a broken wing butterfly strat on volatility ETPs. I wouldn't even consider covered calls (short puts) since there's almost always a better way to put any trade on that expresses the same opinion but there are a lot of people who think that stuff is a good idea. The slick marketing by fund managers and the seductiveness of "easy income" on something you're holding anyway has sucked a lot of people in. The AQR paper is fighting the good fight but sadly it will fall on deaf ears I suspect

>> No.56580963
File: 30 KB, 724x415, xiaomi.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56580963

>>56577228
Xiaomi Rising

>> No.56580996

>German Industrial Production (MoM) (Sep) Actual: -1.4% Expected: -0.1% Previous: -0.2%

Es ist aus.

>Norwegian Industrial Production (M/M) Sep: -8.6% (prevR -1.0%)
- Industrial Production WDA (Y/Y) Sep: -20.1% (prev -8.7%)
- Ind Production Manufacturing (M/M) Sep: -1.3% (prevR 1.4%)
- Ind Production Manufacturing WDA (Y/Y) Sep: -1.5% (prev 1.4%)

Det er over

>> No.56581003
File: 86 KB, 675x582, run_jack_dwyer.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581003

>>56580996

>> No.56581031
File: 83 KB, 1024x1024, msft.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581031

>>56580996
In fairness industrial production is down in almost every country in the world that's been surveyed with European countries hit the hardest. Services on the other hand is doing a lot better in most place and actually expanding in some countries like the US. But get this, a single large economy is crushing it in both manufacturing and services according to the recent PMI surveys. That's right, India. Fuckin India is in expansion mode across its entire economy. The Indian equity market has also outperformed almost every developed market over the last few years. What's their secret bros?

>> No.56581050

>>56581031
>Implying the data would matter
DAX will probably pump, because
>it's the bottom

>> No.56581077

>>56581031
See? Already reversing, lol

>> No.56581128
File: 159 KB, 1198x1641, defined_maturity_bond_etf.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581128

What do you guys think about these defined maturity bond ETFs? Instead of an ETF that continually ladders bonds like TLT and is subject to the mark to market price of the bond, the defined maturity bond ETFs have a specific maturity date and hold their bonds all the way up to that date without laddering. It's like buying a treasury bond and holding it to maturity except you can do it in the stock market with an ETF so you can easily trade in and out. They have higher yielding stuff like municipal bonds and junk bonds too and you can get a maturity date anywhere from 2023 to 2033. Anybody have experience with this?
https://www.invesco.com/us/en/solutions/invesco-etfs/bulletshares-fixed-income-etfs.html

>> No.56581155
File: 156 KB, 1024x1024, 1698074233897567.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581155

>>56581031
Maybe china won't even be the next world leader. Maybe it'll be india. The U.S. is so busy fighting China on all fronts that they are totally forgetting about the real aryans.
Well I for one am already practicing wiping my ass with my bare hand. Mostly just touching the hole with my fingers but that shows you how progressive I am.

>> No.56581176
File: 265 KB, 1842x1060, poo_market_superpower_2030.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581176

>>56581155
>Well I for one am already practicing wiping my ass with my bare hand. Mostly just touching the hole with my fingers but that shows you how progressive I am
checked. You're gonna make it

>> No.56581189
File: 1.56 MB, 2092x1403, 1664510879723955.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581189

I put all my money on the stock market. Am I going to be bankrupt when recession hits?

>> No.56581193

>>56579010
I refuse to anyone talking to a large audience if the only thing they do is talk, never bothering to put their ideas in writing.
Reading things allows to skip unimportant parts quickly, open a second screen to fact-check etc. - being forced to listen is a waste of time and exposes you to manipulative tricks that a text can't contain without being much moire obvious.

>> No.56581212

>>56581193
True. Also almost always trying to find a written answer/response/solution to my problem as I can quickly skip to the critical point. Videos only if it is something I will solve easier seeing the solution.

>> No.56581222
File: 39 KB, 631x394, 0_out_of_10.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581222

>Oil
>Copper
>Gold
Commodity chads, we are getting severely heemed? I fuckin knew I should have sold as the pathetic "war" broke out. They can't afford to escalate things so oil will keep being cheap and gold is gonna stagnate around 1900-2000. Copper is dead because of China, low housing construction, and EV growth has decreased.
Commodity supercycle eh? Fuckkin hell commoditysissies are the worst. At least techchads make money

>> No.56581224

>>56581128
So they're actually backed by it? What about tracking error, IMFs, etc?
Usually anything that isn't a sector/market etf is bretty gross long term

>> No.56581234

>>56579010
I like the plain bagel. He's a Canadian so you know he won't lie.

>> No.56581245

>>56580895
So the logical conclusion would then be that buying call options will provide a positive return in the long run

>> No.56581246

i'm thinking of rotating my display in vertical mode to see the candles bigger. Fuck shitty ratios like 16/10.

>> No.56581261

>>56581222
>commodities will just explode for all eternity

>> No.56581266

>>56581246
You can just zoom in

>> No.56581268

>>56581224
They're exactly like investing in a regular bond ETF like BIL or TLT except instead of constantly rolling the bonds, it actually has a maturity date as if you're went out and bought the actual bond. The upshot is as long as you hold one of these ETFs to maturity you are guaranteed to get all your principal back plus the interest. Whereas if you buy something like TLT and rates keep going up you can lose money and never get it back since there's no real maturity date
>>56581245
>So the logical conclusion would then be that buying call options will provide a positive return in the long run
After thinking long and hard and doing a lot of backtesting I find almost any mechanical call buying strategy has a slightly negative expected value. The calls themselves will average out to break even but you end up negative when you account for the spreads market makers charge. The only way to have positive expected value buying calls is to have a strategy with an edge. Selling calls is the same. Again, the expected value is roughly break even but you lose paying the market makers. This applies to simple vertical spreads as well since they will also have a slightly negative expected value in the long run. If a mechanical option strategy had positive EV it would not make sense for the market maker to continuously take the other side so they wouldn't and they put a lot of effort into figuring out just the right prices and spreads to fuck you out of a few pennies on each transaction in the long run

>> No.56581303

>>56581246
But the screen isn't high enough (without pivot), so you lack width if you go vertical (pivot).

24 inch Eizo EV2416 here.

You'd need a 32 inch screen for that I assume, but then it would be also too high. An 28 inch screen was already to wide for me, so when you pivot that you'd have to sit 2meters away to have see it all.

https://www.mindfactory.de/product_info.php/28Zoll--71-12cm--LG-Electronics-DualUp-28MQ780-B-schwarz-2560x2880-1xDi_1457419.html

That's what you'd need. Dualup monitor.

>> No.56581309

>>56581268
>it would not make sense for the market maker to continuously take the other side so they wouldn't and they put a lot of effort into figuring out just the right prices and spreads to fuck you out of a few pennies on each transaction in the long run
To put a slightly finer point on this, you can look for any option on any option chain in the market currently trading, calculate the maximum price you could pay for that option for it to have positive expected value (i.e. if you did that trade 1000 times you can expect to make more than you lose), then set a bid at that maximum price, you can be guaranteed that all things being equal you will never get filled. The market maker also does this calculation and even if the "bid" is less than the price you set you will still never get filled because he will not fill it. The only way you will get filled is either the underlying market moves such that the math works out and you no longer have positive expected value or you bump your bid up such that the price you're willing to pay no longer has positive expected value. That's the red pill with option trading and why most option traders lose money in the long run. The simple odds are always and I mean ALWAYS against you. The only way to fix that is to have an edge that the market maker doesn't know about to tip the odds in your favor

>> No.56581324
File: 185 KB, 1356x800, US Treasury Yield Curve 11-6-23.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581324

Yields...

>> No.56581326
File: 224 KB, 2560x1440, 1684440776635658.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581326

Goddamn I am so sick of this schizoid market.
>Company presents record profits and margins again
>Excellent guidance
>Opens +4%
>Instantly sold down to -1%
While others pump 20% on shit earnings... I just don't get earnings. This is completely bs

>> No.56581336

indices at vwap, gold can't even reach it

>> No.56581346

>>56581128
but for instance the price of BSMW follows TLT

>> No.56581376

>>56581346
>but for instance the price of BSMW follows TLT
IEF is the 7-10 year bond ETF that is closest to BSMW. The difference is if you buy and hold IEF until 2033 you will end up with the mark to market value of the bonds at that time which may be much higher than it is now or it may be much less. If you buy BSMW (technically a municipal bond ETF), the price action will be somewhat similar to IEF for a while but the closer you get to the maturity date in 2033, the more BSMW will converge with the full value of the 10 year municipal bond it's holding. At maturity the price will converge completely and you will receive all of your investment principal back and not the mark to market value like you would with IEF. It's a subtle distinction but the implications are very different

>> No.56581378

>>56581326
bad earnings are priced out so you buy, good earnings are priced out so you sell.

>> No.56581392

>>56581268
>>56581309
I'm not a smart man, but as I mentioned above, I've been buying 1-month bonds (junk, banker's acceptance, etc) and getting an ask yield of about 4.8 to 5.1%. I'm doing it through TD (not Ameritrade) and it seems extremely difficult to resell them; but I figure I can just keep rolling attractive bonds every month/few weeks and then swing back to equities when it looks better

>> No.56581398

>>56581326
kek, what was it? something german or swedish?

>> No.56581399

>>56581392
What you're doing is perfectly fine. If you want something super liquid that pays about the same consider BIL, the short term treasury ETF. Pays about 5% and the spreads are a penny wide all day long

>> No.56581408

>>56581246
https://youtu.be/6bjgLYPY4ys?si=32wlAQXwBUOCfLs5&t=32

>> No.56581410
File: 58 KB, 657x718, 1684936497392806.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581410

>>56581378
Except that's not true at all. It's completely schizo and is determined by the big bois
>Better than expected --> sometimes pump
>Better than expected --> sometimes dump
>Better than expected --> pump and dump and then pump again
>Worse than expected --> sometimes xx..x..
And so on. It mostly makes sense if you know the context and the market conditions at the time but sometimes it really boggles the mind. Typically if the guidance is good, the stock pumps because the market is forward-looking. But that's just not always the case and it completely defies logic

>> No.56581431

>>56581410
priced in

>> No.56581474
File: 1.22 MB, 823x812, 1643456786545678.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581474

>>56580903
The BIden 79$ put will hold.

>> No.56581491
File: 227 KB, 1502x987, wtf.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581491

... They sell testing your new monitor for pixelerrors as a service.

LMAO

>> No.56581495
File: 111 KB, 1047x757, US_SPR.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581495

>>56581474
He didn't refill when it was at 60 so why should he refill now? The SPR is still at 350 so Biden probably won't give a single crap about refilling. The US does not have an energy policy

>> No.56581520

>>56581495
https://www.energy.gov/ceser/articles/us-department-energy-announces-supplemental-solicitation-purchase-oil-strategic

>> No.56581522

>>56580892
I'm more into making the wife a hucow bimbo but I respect architects. Godspeed anon.

>> No.56581530
File: 6 KB, 218x250, 1684510851295739.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581530

>>56581520
That's just a few million barrels. It's nothing. Wake me up when they decide to fill it back to 600+

>> No.56581534

>>56581495
Bidet will do nothing

>> No.56581540
File: 233 KB, 1461x918, kek.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581540

6k for what? What games? What game needs a 6k pc? I can play resident evil 0, resident evil 1 remake with my recently bought 113 euros Xeon 1246v3 + K2200 graphics. Now that I wrote it here, I might try if it runs Resident evil 2 remake. Completely forgot about it. Gonna buy a key on ebay for 10 Euros.

>> No.56581545
File: 293 KB, 598x1751, wolfstreet.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581545

>>56579010
>does anyone have actually good recommendations for podcasts/content that isn't free, sponsored youtube fear mongering?
I find pic related content to be pretty spot on and nonbiased. He posts within hours of any important happening so multiple times a day. The comments are high quality too
https://wolfstreet.com/

>> No.56581548

Oil is fairly priced at <$70, bidet is overpaying for a few million barrels

>> No.56581554
File: 1014 KB, 620x757, 16434563456543.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581554

>>56581530
A few million here a few million there it adds up.

>> No.56581555

Markets have been completely taken over my algos. The way this bullshit moves intraday, it's so bizarre. Unfun.

>> No.56581564
File: 201 KB, 600x600, 1696879636127064.gif [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581564

>>56581540
I just use my old lenovo laptop with cloud gaming.
Works perfectly fine for most games i play.

>> No.56581584
File: 574 KB, 600x600, check_em.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581584

>>56581555
Impressive, very nice. And completely true as well. 10Y yields falling, DXY up, Euro Area Construction PMI terrible and keeps falling for all important countries... I am still maintaining that we will get a nice Santa rally though so I am buying. I am focusing on good boomer stocks with high solvency, low debt, and high divvies. It's going pretty well all things considered
>>56581540
This is utter crap. 6k so you can render some AI images with that 64GB RAM? I am still on a GTX 1070 and I can run good games on max no problem. Not gonna bother with un-optimized trash.

>> No.56581599

>>56581584
Yeah, I don't get it. Those old games look good (yes, prerendered, but that's their style and they are good) and the new stuff is seems to be shittily coded. Not gonna buy expensive hardware for shitgames.

I'm even fuckin unwilling to buy RE 2. I don't want to spend those 10 Euros.

RE 1 and 3 were better anyways. Too bad they fucked the remake up.

>> No.56581670

This is most probably the last smg.

>> No.56581678
File: 737 KB, 1080x2020, eur_com.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581678

well damn. We had a good market going too..

>> No.56581680
File: 1.22 MB, 1152x1520, AI_gen_pleasant_2.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581680

>>56581599
I just went back to 2015 and looked at Arkham Knight (2015) and guess what? The game looks amazing and it runs on Unreal Engine 3 which is supremely coded and optimized. And modern devs make games on Unreal Engine 5 that look worse and run significantly worse. Just what the hell happened?
Anyway, looks like we're going back to 14500 on DAX and 2056 on OMX... unless the US starts pumping, that is. Interesting, both oil and gasoline are in a downtrend but that doesn't seem to help. On the other hand, electricity prices are on the rise again (to be expected) and since electricity is the single biggest contributor to inflation, that is going to suck for the central banks in Europe. I know I said no-one wants to raise in December but they might actually be forced to do it

>> No.56581682
File: 706 KB, 726x690, 164324567896434567.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581682

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!

>> No.56581701

>>56581680
Also have Batman in my steam, but never really played it.

I don't think we will go down that much. This week will go slightly lower, but we will actually have another retard run like end of 2021. It looks almost like back then, the drop, then spike up, slight tilt down and then build up to a hill/ mountain that will roll off 1-2 months later.

>> No.56581737
File: 1.20 MB, 1024x1536, AI_gen_pleasant_1.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581737

>>56581701
While true, the graphs literally spell out lower lows and lower highs. Oh well, we shall see.
No job today and the market is once again completely schizoid so I'm gonna go play Nier or Witcher or Gothic I.

>> No.56581761

>>56581737
Yes, which is why 15500 is for me the high we might reach and that is it. Then back down to 14500 and lower. 13k is my goal, for that the german yield curve needs to full uninvert. If you look at the 10y/2y graph for german yield curve, you can clearly see how DAX mooned right when the inversion started. And the top of DAX was when the yield curve was max inverted. With the uninversion it starts dropping and we are still heavily inverted. This might even go to 12k.

My problem is I'm not that long into this. So I can't tell what will happen. I as a bond investor would actually try to buy as many bonds as I can right when I see that the central banks are going to cut rates.
1. Because they will gain in value when rates are being cut.
2. The newer bonds will yield less

So this might be the time the yield curve uninverts.

>> No.56581791
File: 35 KB, 876x478, yieldy boys.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581791

>>56581737

>> No.56581877
File: 415 KB, 640x576, 1699307734212278.png [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581877

The Fed is selling short term treasuries to buy long term treasuries, all while maintaining a neutral balance sheet. Jerome is a snake.

>> No.56581899
File: 62 KB, 700x720, 1695037131507696.jpg [View same] [iqdb] [saucenao] [google]
56581899

>>56581877
I really should start working out again..

>> No.56581930

>>56579751
Making pasta sauce like a boss

>> No.56581936

Bakers do the needful...

>> No.56582030

next
>>56582026
>>56582026
>>56582026

>> No.56582242

>>56581737
You tried control yet ? It’s pretty cool.

>> No.56582987

>>56580318
The other anon asked for a dumbed down explanation/example; there's no need to complicate it with precision down to the penny.